OKC is covering the spread 60% of the time, which isn’t bad, but it’s not great. Washington, on the other hand, is covering at just a 36% rate, and that’s because they’ve already suffered a lot of really bad losses. 12 of their 22 defeats have been by at least 19 points, so it makes sense that the best defense in the league should be able to cover that difference against the worst team in the NBA. This spread will likely be decided in garbage time minutes, which means I’m taking OKC’s depth over whoever Washington decides to have on the floor at that time.