Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Picked as a Monster Favorite Over Wizards

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-18)

Total: 226.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Wizards
17-11 (60%)	All	9-16-1 (36%)
8-5 (61%) at home	Location	4-8-1 (33%) on the road
16-11 (59%) as favorite	Status	9-16-1 (33%) as underdog or pick
8-5 (61%) as home favorite	Location Status	4-8-1 (33%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 11-17 (39%) against the over on the season.
• Washington is 13-13 (50%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 6-7 (46%) against the over at home.
• The Wizards are 6-7 (46%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
WAS	107.5	122.2	44.2	32.3	43.8	24.4	16.4	7.9	5.8	L1	2-8
OKC	114.8	103.1	46.4	35.2	43.4	25.6	11.9	12.1	6.1	W7	9-1

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Adam Flagler (G League —two-way) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (sprained left knee) is OUT.

Wizards

• Saddiq Bey (left ACL surgery) is OUT.
• Bilal Coulibaly (right groin soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Kyle Kuzma (sprained rib) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder went 2-0 against the Wizards last season (1-0 at home, 0-1 on the road). OKC has won 4 in a row against Washington.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-18)

OKC is covering the spread 60% of the time, which isn’t bad, but it’s not great. Washington, on the other hand, is covering at just a 36% rate, and that’s because they’ve already suffered a lot of really bad losses. 12 of their 22 defeats have been by at least 19 points, so it makes sense that the best defense in the league should be able to cover that difference against the worst team in the NBA. This spread will likely be decided in garbage time minutes, which means I’m taking OKC’s depth over whoever Washington decides to have on the floor at that time.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (226.5)

The only way this game goes over this point total is if OKC wins by 40+. That’s in the realm of possible but not probable. The Wizards have one of the worst scoring offenses in the NBA, and OKC should be able to score off Washington turnovers. Still, I’m taking the under on this one.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	17-9	14-11-1	13-13
Zack	22-6	19-9	17-11
Craig	21-6	20-5-2	16-11