Oklahoma State Cowboys @ TCU Horned Frogs | How to Watch, Storylines, Odds, & Predictions

Zachary Low

1 year ago

How the Cowboys Win

I’m not even sure it’s possible for Oklahoma State to get a win at this point, but if it’s going to happen, it’s going to have to be on the shoulders of the defense. TCU’s pass offense is the best in the conference, and if the Cowboys can’t get stops, a turnover or two, and maybe even a defensive touchdown, then I don’t see them getting a win against the Horned Frogs.

How the Horned Frogs Win

TCU essentially just has to show up and play the game. I have such little faith in Oklahoma State nowadays. In all seriousness, if the Horned Frogs can get anything going on the ground, it’ll be light work for them. They have the best pass game in the Big 12, but their run game is even worse than Oklahoma State’s. If they can manage just a little bit of success in running the ball, the pass game will be that much more open.

Odds & Predictions

Staff Score Predictions

Staff	Prediction
Caleb	TCU 34 – Oklahoma State 17
Craig	TCU 35 – Oklahoma State 27
Matt	TCU 35 – Oklahoma State 27
Zack	TCU 37 – Oklahoma State 27

An Oklahoma State Win Would…

Make the Cowboys 98-27 in the past 125 games vs. opponents outside of the AP Top 25, dating to 2010.
Give the Cowboys wins in 13 of its past 22 and in 26 of its past 38 games following a loss.
Give the Cowboys wins in 12 of its past 20 games.
Improve Mike Gundy’s record in November games to 42-32.
Improve Mike Gundy’s record in Big 12 games to 103-69 and move him to one game away from tying Bill Snyder for the second-most Big 12 wins in conference history.
Improve OSU’s all-time record vs. TCU to 18-14-2 and its record at TCU to 6-9-2.
Give the Cowboys wins in eight of its past 13 matchups with TCU.
Improve Mike Gundy’s record against TCU to 7-5.
Make the Cowboys 35-18 in its past 53 games overall, dating back to the 2020 season.

Notable Streaks and Trends Entering the Game

Brennan Presley has multiple catches in 39 straight games, the second longest active streak in the FBS.
Trey Rucker has recorded at least 10 tackles in four of his eight games played this season.
Oklahoma State is 5-for-5 on two-point conversion attempts this season and the five successful twopoint conversions are tied for the most in the FBS.
Ollie Gordon II has rushed for more than 100 yards in 11 of the past 20 games.
OSU’s offensive line has not allowed a sack in 11 of its past 19 games.
OSU is 13-2 in the past 15 games when winning or tying the turnover battle.
Dating back to 2008, OSU is 82-10 when winning the turnover battle.
Dating back to 2005, OSU is 49-4 when not committing a turnover.
OSU has held 35 of its past 49 Big 12 opponents under their season scoring average entering the game.
OSU has won 86 consecutive games when holding its opponent to fewer than 20 points, dating back to Sept. 13, 2003 – the longest active stretch of time in the FBS, the longest since at least 1980 and likely the longest in college football history. Including games when opponents have scored 20 points or fewer, the streak begins at the same date and includes 94 games.
OSU has held its opponent scoreless on its game-opening drive in 45 of its past 67 games.
OSU has held its opponent to less than a 50% third down conversion rate in 52 of its past 61 games.
OSU is 40-18 in its past 58 games decided by fewer than 10 points.
OSU is 51-9 in its past 60 games when leading at halftime, dating back to Sept. 17, 2016.
OSU has won five of its past seven overtime games.
Over the past 57 games, OSU has held opponents to 294-for-897 (32.8%) on third down.