Picking the Playoffs: Adjustments, Adversity, and the Road Test of Game 3

There’s a moment in every postseason where the numbers stop feeling like gospel and start feeling like a guide. We may have hit that point.…

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Round 1, Game 2 Preview: Phoenix Suns

The Oklahoma City Thunder utterly dominated the Phoenix Suns 119-84 in Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder’s defense was suffocating, and even though OKC didn’t shoot all that well, the defense converted turnovers into points. In the end, the starters rested for most, if not all, of the fourth quarter, and now the teams meet again tonight for Game 2.

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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored Heavily Over Suns Yet Again for Game 2

After blowing out the Suns in Game 1, the Thunder enters Game 2 as an even bigger favorite. 17.5 points is tied for the biggest spread in an NBA Playoff game ever, and while OKC could definitely hit this, I still expect a better game from Phoenix. The Thunder shouldn’t struggle to win the game in the end, but a late cover by the Suns feels likely, so I’m taking Phoenix to cover.

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Picking The Playoffs | Game 2 Reality Check: Adjustments, Pressure Points, and Where the Model Still Holds

The deeper you get into the NBA Playoffs, the less forgiving the numbers become. Monday night proved that. After tweaking the algorithm to better account…

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