Picking the Playoffs: Adjustments, Adversity, and the Road Test of Game 3
There’s a moment in every postseason where the numbers stop feeling like gospel and start feeling like a guide. We may have hit that point.…
Crowned and Commanding: Shai Leads Thunder to 2–0 Series Grip with Game 2 Victory
The coronation came before tip-off. The statement followed immediately after. On a night when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was presented with the NBA’s Clutch Player of the…
View More Crowned and Commanding: Shai Leads Thunder to 2–0 Series Grip with Game 2 VictoryPicking the Playoffs: Game 2 Reality Check as Chaos Meets Our Prediction Model
If the first wave of these NBA playoffs has taught us anything, it’s this: truth doesn’t care about our prediction model. Coming off Tuesday night,…
View More Picking the Playoffs: Game 2 Reality Check as Chaos Meets Our Prediction ModelThe Math Problem: Why Game 2 Still Tilts Heavily Toward the Thunder
For the Oklahoma City Thunder, the numbers suggest Sunday night wasn’t an outlier—it was a projection realized in real time. Ahead of tonight’s Game 2…
View More The Math Problem: Why Game 2 Still Tilts Heavily Toward the ThunderOklahoma City Thunder | Round 1, Game 2 Preview: Phoenix Suns
The Oklahoma City Thunder utterly dominated the Phoenix Suns 119-84 in Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder’s defense was suffocating, and even though OKC didn’t shoot all that well, the defense converted turnovers into points. In the end, the starters rested for most, if not all, of the fourth quarter, and now the teams meet again tonight for Game 2.
View More Oklahoma City Thunder | Round 1, Game 2 Preview: Phoenix SunsThunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored Heavily Over Suns Yet Again for Game 2
After blowing out the Suns in Game 1, the Thunder enters Game 2 as an even bigger favorite. 17.5 points is tied for the biggest spread in an NBA Playoff game ever, and while OKC could definitely hit this, I still expect a better game from Phoenix. The Thunder shouldn’t struggle to win the game in the end, but a late cover by the Suns feels likely, so I’m taking Phoenix to cover.
View More Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored Heavily Over Suns Yet Again for Game 2Inside the Numbers: Sooners Tie NCAA Mark Behind No-Hit Masterclass
The Oklahoma Sooners didn’t just close out their non-conference schedule with a 9-0 run-rule victory over Arkansas-Pine Bluff. They delivered a performance that, when examined…
View More Inside the Numbers: Sooners Tie NCAA Mark Behind No-Hit MasterclassGame 2 Pressure: How the Thunder’s Possession Dominance Already Has Phoenix on the Brink
The first punch in a playoff series doesn’t always decide the outcome. But sometimes, it tells you exactly what kind of fight you’re in. For…
View More Game 2 Pressure: How the Thunder’s Possession Dominance Already Has Phoenix on the BrinkPicking The Playoffs | Game 2 Reality Check: Adjustments, Pressure Points, and Where the Model Still Holds
The deeper you get into the NBA Playoffs, the less forgiving the numbers become. Monday night proved that. After tweaking the algorithm to better account…
View More Picking The Playoffs | Game 2 Reality Check: Adjustments, Pressure Points, and Where the Model Still HoldsInside the Numbers: Oklahoma’s Midweek Reset Carries Record-Chasing Stakes Against Arkansas-Pine Bluff
There’s a different rhythm tonight in Norman. No conference implications. No top-10 opponent in the opposite dugout. No series tension stretching across a weekend. And…
View More Inside the Numbers: Oklahoma’s Midweek Reset Carries Record-Chasing Stakes Against Arkansas-Pine Bluff
