Tip-Off: 6 PM CT
Location: Spectrum Center (Charlotte, North Carolina)
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
Total: 225.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Hornets |
| 8-5 (61%) | All | 5-7 (41%) |
| 4-3 (57%) on the road | Location | 3-3 (50%) at home |
| 8-5 (61%) as favorite | Status | 4-7 (36%) as underdog |
| 4-3 (57%) as road favorite | Location Status | 2-3 (40%) as home underdog |
| 0-0 (0%) | Head To Head | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 7-6 (53%) against the over on the season.
- Charlotte is 6-6 (59%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 3-4 (42%) against the over on the road.
- The Hornets are 2-4 (33%) against the over at home.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 122.5 | 107.0 | 47.6 | 33.8 | 47.0 | 25.5 | 12.3 | 10.8 | 5.2 | W4 | 9-1 |
| CHA | 118.9 | 121.4 | 47.1 | 37.1 | 46.0 | 27.1 | 17.0 | 6.8 | 4.8 | L1 | 3-7 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Luguentz Dort (strained right upper trap) is AVAILABLE.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Aaron Wiggins (strained left adductor) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (right wrist surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (left shoulder soreness) is OUT.
- Kenrich Williams (left knee surgical recovery) is OUT.
Hornets
- LaMelo Ball (right ankle impingement) is OUT.
- Josh Green (left shoulder surgery) is OUT.
- Liam McNeely (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Brandon Miller (left shoulder sublaxation) is OUT.
- Drew Peterson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Tidjane Salaun (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- KJ Simpson (sprained left AC joint) is PROBABLE.
- Grant Williams (right knee surgery) is OUT.
Series History
OKC went 2-0 against the Hornets in the 2024-25 regular season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road) and has 4 straight against the Hornets
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-16.5)
Big spreads like this are dangerous in the NBA, but the OKC looks unstoppable, and Charlotte is playing in the second game of a back-to-back after an overtime loss to the Milwaukee Bucks last night. Even though the Thunder isn’t quite healthy, the Hornets turn the ball over at a high rate, which means easy points for the best defense in the NBA. I see this one being a true blowout win.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (225.5)
Point totals have been tricky for the Thunder, considering their ability to take care of teams early. I expect a dominant win with plenty of scoring by OKC—perhaps another fourth quarter rest for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander—but I think the score will barely tip over the total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 11-2 | 5-8 | 4-9 |
| Zack | 12-1 | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Craig | 12-1 | 6-7 | 4-9 |