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Thunder Against the Spread | Shorthanded OKC Enters Meeting With Jazz as Solid Road Favorite

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Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Delta Center (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Total: 236.5

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatJazz
12-11 (52%)All12-10 (54%)
6-6 (50%) on the roadLocation9-3 (75%) at home
12-11 (52%) as favoriteStatus9-9 (50%) as underdog
6-6 (50%) as road favoriteLocation Status7-3 (70%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC122.7107.149.436.744.726.312.510.15.4W1410-0
UTA118.4125.645.434.345.529.716.57.93.5L14-6

Injury Report

Thunder

Jazz

Series History

OKC is 1-0 against Utah so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-9)

This is as low a spread as OKC has had in quite some time, and it’s not because of a tough opponent. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is set to miss his first game of the season with elbow bursitis, and the Thunder is also without Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, and Isaiah Joe. That’s a pretty lengthy list of key players. Still, OKC is as deep as they come, and this will allow Jalen Williams to run the show in a sense. Even with all the absences, I still think OKC wins by double digits.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (236.5)

I can understand why the point total is so high, considering OKC is missing so much, but it’s not like the Jazz have a high-powered offense or anything. Yes, they’re in the top half of the league in points per game, and Lauri Markannen is a great scorer, but he’s out with an illness, and the Thunder plays intense defense all the way down the depth chart. I think OKC wins big because of their ability to get stops, which tends to result in a lower scoring point total—at least lower than this line—so I’m taking the under.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt21-214-88-15
Zack22-111-1211-12
Craig22-110-12-17-16
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