Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 6 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

After taking a 3-2 series lead with a dominant win in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder has a chance to earn a second straight trip to the NBA Finals as they take on the San Antonio Spurs on the road in Game 6. The Thunder’s defense has been good, if not great, for most of the series, but the offense has been questionable at times. That was not the case in Game 5 as they shot 48.2% from the field—their highest in the Western Conference Finals so far—and 43.8% from downtown—just below their best in the series.

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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Looks to Close Out Spurs in Game 6 in San Antonio as Underdog

OKC has a chance to close out the series against the Spurs, and even though Game 6 is in San Antonio, I’m not so sure the Thunder should be the underdog in this one. After a rough outing in Game 4, the Thunder answered in Game 5 with an impressive performance on both ends of the floor. Once again, the narrative is focused on officiating, but in a closeout game, poise and experience are sure to play an important role. Both teams have made adjustments game by game to get a leg up, but at this point, they know each other pretty well. OKC is still the deeper team, even if Jalen Williams continues to sit with a strained hamstring, and I think that will give the Thunder what they need to finish this one out, so I’m not only taking OKC to cover but to win.

View More Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Looks to Close Out Spurs in Game 6 in San Antonio as Underdog

Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 5 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

Historically, when a playoff series is tied at 2-2, the winner of Game 5 goes on to win the series almost 82% of the time. This one is kind of a big deal.

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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored at Home Over Spurs for Critical Game 5

OKC is still without Ajay Mitchell and likely still without Jalen Wiliams, but playing down a couple of key players is nothing new to this squad. The winner of this game is likely to end up winning the series, so expect another dogfight. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander played pretty poorly in Game 4, but the Thunder bench was about as awful as they could be following a historic Game 3. I expect SGA to look more like the reigning back-to-back MVP, and the bench to be much more relaxed playing at home. Victor Wembanyama has been tough to slow down, so what better time for Chet Holmgren to offer a solid contribution? I like the Thunder to win and cover this small spread.

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 3 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

Wemby had a monster stat line in Game 1, and SGA looked like the reigning MVP in Game 2. Either one—or both—could have another big night in Game 3, but as the series goes longer, the team with the better “other guys” is going to have a much better chance at pulling out the win. OKC is about as deep as they come, but San Antonio has its fair share of depth.

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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Enters Game 3 of WCF Against Spurs as Rare Underdog

OKC is 2-1 in clutch games out of 10 playoff games played so far. San Antonio is 2-4 in clutch games out of 13 playoff games played so far. Both Games 1 and 2 were close ones, with each team taking a win apiece, and Game 3 should be another game decided in the clutch. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the reigning clutch player of the year, and though he’s not been nearly as hot late in games in the playoffs, I trust him over Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, or anybody else San Antonio has. I think OKC pulls this one out to take a 2-1 series lead.

View More Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Enters Game 3 of WCF Against Spurs as Rare Underdog

Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 2 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

Game 2 will be a big game of adjustments as Mark Daigneault tries to get the Thunder ready to tie up the series. Attack the rim more—even if Wemby is in the paint—rebound the ball at a much more efficient rate, and keep the crowd in the game by way of momentum.

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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Looks to Bounce Back in Game 2 of WCF Favored Over Spurs

Same spread, different game. As good as Game 1 was for basketball fans in general, the Thunder didn’t play all that well outside of Alex Caruso popping off for a career playoff-high of 31 points, just 1 point shy of tying his career-high. Jalen Williams was solid in his return to action after missing nearly a month, but Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a pretty rough game, and Chet was generally bad after having a great run in the playoffs so far. Victory Wembanyama was an animal in Game 1, and the Spurs are definitely the Thunder’s best competition in the league, but OKC has lost back-to-back games just 4 times this season, never back-to-back at home. I anticipate a bounce back for OKC, resulting in a solid cover.

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 1 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs are crossing paths once again, and this time, it’s in the Western Conference Finals. The seemingly forced rivalry between the Thunder and the Spurs is becoming more and more real as time goes on, and this series should take it to another level.

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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Opens WCF as 6.5-Point Favorite Over Spurs for Game 1

The Oklahoma City Thunder are not just reasonably favored in Game 1 against the San Antonio Spurs but also the series. OKC is coming off a week of rest, while San Antonio just finished out their second round series with the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday night. The Thunder enters this round at full strength, while the Spurs have a couple of question marks on the injury report. Everybody wants to talk about the regular-season series, but those games are not a true indicator of this matchup for a lot of reasons. What truly matters is that the Thunder has played at another level of focus and energy over the last month, and I don’t see that dipping against the Spurs. Give me OKC to cover tonight.

View More Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Opens WCF as 6.5-Point Favorite Over Spurs for Game 1