Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-1.0)
Trends Against The Spread
|31-17 (64%)||26-23-1 (53%)|
|15-9 (62%) at home||10-15 (40%) on the road|
|6-7 (46%) as favorite||4-6 (33%) as underdog or pick|
|6-4 (60%) as home favorite||3-6 (33%) as road underdog|
|Head To Head|
|1-0 (100%)||0-1 (0%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 55% of the time this season.
- The Cavs have hit the over 46% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 15-8-1 against the over at home this season.
- Cleveland is 11-14 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder is 0-1 against the Cavs so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-1)
Oklahoma City opened as a 1-point underdog, but the line quickly moved when it was announced that Kevin Love was out and Donovan Mitchell was listed as doubtful on the injury report. Without Mitchell, the Cavs lose their most dynamic scorer in an offense that already doesn’t score a lot of points. They might actually improve on the defensive end, though, which is where Cleveland really thrives. Because OKC is missing Luguentz Dort, I do think this will be a close game, but I can see OKC winning outright in the end.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (222)
This is the lowest point total in a game for the Thunder for quite some time, and it’s obvious why: Cleveland allows the fewest points in the NBA. Add to it that the Cavs will likely be without Donovan Mitchell, and it’s a perfect recipe for a lower-scoring game, but I’m not buying it. OKC should be able to score just fine with their talented backcourt, and Cleveland will probably get their fair share of buckets in the paint. As a result, I’m taking the over.
On the Season