Thunder Against the Spread | Cautiously Take OKC to Cover Big Spread

: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

Total: 230

Trends Against The Spread

45-29-1 (60%)34-40-2 (45%)
23-14 (62%) at home19-18-2 (51%) on the road
14-11 (56%) as favorite26-32-2 (44%) as underdog or pick
Location Status
13-6 (68%) as home favorite15-16-2 (48%) as road underdog
Head To Head
0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)
  • OKC has hit the over 54% of the time this season.
  • The Hornets have hit the over 42% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 23-13-1 against the over on the road this season.
  • Charlotte is 20-19 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats


Series History

The Thunder is 0-1 against the Hornets so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-10.5)

The Thunder finally returns home after a 4-game West Coast road trip, and they have won their last 5 in OKC. The Hornets are riddled with injuries and have no real incentive to win considering they have already been eliminated from playoff contention. I hesitate to take OKC to cover such a big spread after they nearly laid on egg on Sunday in Portland, but this team just plays differently when at home. I like the Thunder by double digits in this one.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (230)

I keep falling for the trap of expecting a high-scoring game, and I guess I’m ready to get my heartbroken again. The point total tonight is as low as it has been in a while, and even though Charlotte is pretty spread thin, I think the Thunder could put up some serious scoring tonight. As a result, I’m taking the over.

On the Season


Staff Picks

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