Thunder Against Spread | OKC a Slight Favorite Over Pacers in Indiana

Tip-Off: 6 PM CT

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, Indiana)

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Total: 237

Trends Against The Spread

45-31-1 (59%)39-37-1 (51%)
22-15-1 (59%) on the road21-16-1 (56%) at home
14-13 (51%) as favorite32-26-1 (55%) as underdog or pick
Location Status
1-5 (16%) as road favorite16-9-1 (64%) as home underdog
Head To Head
1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 53% of the time this season.
  • The Pacers have hit the over 50% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 17-21 against the over on the road this season.
  • Indiana is 20-18 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats


Series History

The Thunder is 1-0 against the Pacers so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-3.5)

The Pacers are on a 4-game losing streak, and they don’t exactly have the best chances to make the playoffs. On the other hand, they could improve their odds in the draft lottery by losing a few more games. Lastly, Indiana is missing several key players due to injury. Put all of that together, and it’s hard for me to think that the Thunder cannot pull out a win. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is active tonight, and OKC definitely has what it takes to get win, regardless of how they have played lately.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (237)

If Shai plays, I could see this one being a high-scoring game, but if he’s out again, I don’t see it getting up that high. The Thunder knows they need this win to improve their odds of making the play-in, so the defense should be a little more on point than it was on Tuesday. I’m expecting something closer to Wednesday’s game against the Pistons in terms of total points score, so I’m taking the under with a reasonable amount of confidence.

On the Season


Staff Picks

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