Yesterday’s Saint Louis/Baltimore game gave us a 2-1 start to the week. We hit Baltimore on the moneyline and the over on that game. Tapping us with the 2-1 wins. Our loss came with taking the Cardinals at +1.5 in a game they eventually lost 11-5. Had it not been for a Cedric Mullins grand slam, we would have been pretty spot on with our analysis. As it is, I’m pretty happy to be ahead, even though it’s just slightly, as we look at the New York Yankees (71-72) and Boston (73-70).
The Pitchers
The Yankees are going to start the game right righty Randy Vasquez (2-2, 2.36 ERA) who is seldom used for long stints. In his last five appearances, he’s only made it through four innings once. The Yankees have won twice over the last five times he’s been on the mound, and he’s allowing an average of 1.00 earned run per appearance during that span.
Boston is throwing Nick Pivetta (9-8, 4.54 ERA) who has also seen some short stints on the mound recently. The Red Sox have won in three of the last five games he’s appeared in, but he’s only lasted more than four inning once during that span and allowed an average of 2.00 earned runs per appearance.
The Lineups
New York is led by Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres. Judge leads the Yankees with 31 home runs while Torres leads the team in batting average (.269) and RBI (62). Six of the nine batters in the New York lineup have recorded multiple hits against Pivetta, including Judge who is .333 against him with two home runs. Over the last five games New York has only scored 15 runs.
The Red Sox are powered by Rafael Devers, Masataka Yoshida, and Justin Turner. Devers has hit 29 home runs, while Yoshida paces the team with a .293 batting average, and Turner has knocked in 94 RBI. Boston has scored 28 runs across the last five games.
The Streaks
Both teams are more or less limping into this series. The Yankees scored a 4-3 win over Milwaukee on Sunday to end a three-game losing streak. Meanwhile, Boston’s 7-3 win over Baltimore on Sunday snapped a four-game losing streak.
The Odds
Red Sox -1.5
Red Sox -165 on the moneyline
O/U 10
I think the wrong team might be favored here. I’m going with the Yankees at +1.5 and I’m also taking them on the moneyline. After hitting the over yesterday, I’m switching back to taking the under today.
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