NCAA Football Best Bet For September 17, 2023 | LSU at Mississippi State

Get ready for an S.E.C. upset in Starkville. The LSU Tigers are taking to the road highly unproven and find themselves nearly double digit favorites at Mississippi State. Here’s my breakdown.

The Odds

LSU -9

LSU -356 on the moneyline

O/U 54

Why We’re Taking The Bulldogs +9

The point spread was the only pick we missed on last night’s Virginia/Maryland game. However, I really like the spot that Mississippi State is in here. They get a ranked Tiger, team at home, that is still licking its wounds from the beating they took from Florida State to start the season. They’ll be ready to go and will have the ability to exploit some of the weaknesses in the LSU defense.

Why We’re Taking The Bulldogs On The Moneyline

This game has upset written all over it! Mississippi State will be on edge. A win here puts them in the Top 25 on Monday and the home crowd knows that. They’ll be able to take advantage of LSU turnovers and be in a position to pull the upset late in the fourth quarter.

Why We’re Taking The Over

You want to know the real reason why I’m picking the Bulldogs for the upset? It’s an LSU defense that was exposed in Week 1 and feels like it answered all of it’s problems against Grambling last week. Another reckoning is coming for the Tiger defense as the Bulldogs are sure to challenge them in ways they were not last week. I can see this being a 31-28 type finish, which definitely puts us over 54 points.

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