Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Hawks (-3)
Trends Against The Spread
|4-2 (7%)||All||3-3 (50%)|
|2-2 (50%) at home||Location||2-1 (67%) on the road|
|3-1 (75%) as underdog or pick||Status||0-2 (0%) as favorite|
|1-1 (50%) as home underdog||Location Status||0-1 (0%) as road favorite|
|0-0 (0%)||Head To Head||0-0 (0%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 50% of the time this season.
- Atlanta has hit the over 50% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 2-2 against the over at home this season.
- The Hawks are 0-3 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder went 1-1 against the Hawks last season (0-1 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+3)
OKC looks to be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (sprained left knee) for the second straight game. While the strategy changes slightly, and the offense flows more team central rather than through Shai, the Thunder is still a dangerous team. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks are riding a 4-game win streak, which in my mind, makes them susceptible to a loss in a rowdy environment. I see the OKC crowd hungry for a win, which will give the Thunder an edge when it comes down to it.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (237.5)
Atlanta has one of the most potent offenses of the last few years, but their defense has been consistently abysmal. Meanwhile, the Thunder has quite a few offensive weapons, and the defense has the ability to get stops, but they have yet to really figure things out. With all of that in mind, I see another high-scoring affair.
On the Season