Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
Total: 224.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Timberwolves |
| 30-15-1 (66%) | All | 22-21-3 (51%) |
| 16-6 (72%) at home | Location | 11-12-2 (47%) on the road |
| 20-10 (66%) as favorite | Status | 5-5 (50%) as underdog or pick |
| 13-4 (76%) as home favorite | Location Status | 3-5 (37%) as road underdog |
| 2-0-1 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-2-1 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
- Minnesota has hit the over 50% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 12-9-1 against the over at home this season.
- The Timberwolves are 14-11 against the over on the road this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 113.1 | 107.6 | 48.9 | 39.0 | 43.6 | 26.4 | 15.2 | 7.5 | 5.9 | L1 | 7-3 |
| OKC | 121.2 | 113.0 | 50.3 | 38.8 | 41.3 | 26.3 | 12.5 | 8.4 | 6.4 | L1 | 6-4 |
Series History
The Thunder is 2-1 against the Timberwolves so far this season (1-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-2.5)
Sunday’s loss to Detroit is a pretty gross stain on what has been an otherwise beautiful season thus far. Regardless of how awful that performance was, the Thunder are much more likely to play well in front of the home crowd, especially considering the quality of the opponent. Minnesota is also coming off a bad loss, one on the road against the Spurs, so I anticipate this game will come down to the wire, and the Thunder will get the edge to cover late.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (224.5)
Oklahoma City had one of their worst offensive games of the season against Detroit on Sunday, and while I expect them to look much more precise against Minnesota, I do expect this to be a defensive battle. The Timberwolves give up the fewest points in the league, and 2 of the 3 matchups so far this season have been under 210 total points. I’m taking the under on this one.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 23-21 | 22-21-1 | 14-30 |
| Zack | 32-14 | 27-18-1 | 19-27 |
| Craig | 27-11 | 20-17-1 | 13-25 |