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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Double-Digit Favorite in Another Meeting with the Rockets

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Tip-Off: 9 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-10)

Total: 235.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Rockets
35-20-1 (64%)All28-27-2 (50%)
15-11-1 (57%) at homeLocation9-17-1 (34%) on the road
26-15 (63%) as favoriteStatus17-20-1 (45%) as underdog or pick
17-7 (70%) as home favoriteLocation Status7-15-1 (31%) as road underdog
1-1 (50%)Head To Head1-1 (50%)

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
HOU113.1113.145.935.245.924.713.27.54.5W43-7
OKC121.5113.350.239.841.527.312.68.26.8W58-2

Series History

The Thunder is 1-1 against the Rockets so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-10)

Oklahoma City covers the spread more often at home than on the road, and Houston is the opposite. Despite the Thunder defeating the Rockets handily on Sunday, I don’t think it will be quite as easy two nights later. It’s very difficult to beat even a decent team twice in a short amount of time like that, typically because of adjustments that can be made. I definitely think OKC gets the win in front of the home crowd, but I think it’s a single-digit game, giving Houston the cover.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (235.5)

While I do expect the game to be a bit closer than Sunday’s meeting, I still expect there to be plenty of points scored, particularly by Oklahoma City. The point total went under on Sunday, but just barely, and because I think Houston keeps the deficit to within single digits, I’m taking the over on this one.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt30-2527-27-120-35
Zack40-1733-23-126-31
Craig34-1425-22-117-31
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