Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-16)
Total: 226
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Spurs |
| 43-35-1 (55%) | All | 41-37-1 (52%) |
| 24-14 (63%) at home | Location | 22-18 (55%) on the road |
| 32-26 (55%) as favorite | Status | 35-35-1 (50%) as underdog or pick |
| 20-12 (62%) as home favorite | Location Status | 20-18 (52%) as road underdog |
| 2-1 (66%) | Head To Head | 1-2 (33%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 57% of the time this season.
- San Antonio has hit the over 48% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 20-17-1 against the over at home this season.
- The Spurs are 17-22-1 against the over on the road this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 112.1 | 118.8 | 46.2 | 34.7 | 44.0 | 29.9 | 15.1 | 7.2 | 6.4 | W1 | 5-5 |
| OKC | 119.7 | 113.4 | 49.8 | 38.8 | 41.6 | 26.9 | 12.7 | 8.4 | 6.6 | W2 | 5-5 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng is OUT (G League — on assignment).
- Luguentz Dort is OUT (rest).
- Gordon Hayward is QUESTIONABLE (strained left posterior tibialis).
- Keyontae Johnson is OUT (G League — two-way).
- Olivier Sarr is OUT (G League — two-way).
- Jalen Williams is QUESTIONABLE (lower back contusion).
Spurs
- Dominick Barlow is OUT (left knee bone bruise).
- Charles Bassey is OUT (left ACL tear).
- Malaki Branham is QUESTIONABLE (right hip contusion).
- Keldon Johnson is OUT (sprained left foot).
- Cedi Osman is OUT (sprained right ankle).
- Jeremy Sochan is OUT (left ankle impingement).
- Devin Vassell is OUT (stress reaction in right third metatarsal head).
- Victor Wembanyama is OUT (right ankle injury management).
Series History
The Thunder are 2-1 against the San Antonio Spurs so far this season (1-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-16)
OKC has had a few of these monster spreads this season, and they’ve actually covered far more often than not when favored so heavily. This one could definitely go that way considering the Spurs are missing several key guys, including Victor Wembanyama. I could see this being a game where the Thunder gain a comfortable lead and get plenty of playtime spread around so the starters can get some rest, especially considering it’s the second game of a back-to-back. It will likely still be a double-digit spread, but I think the Spurs sneak back under the line in the last few minutes of the game.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (226)
I’m still pretty surprised that the over didn’t hit last night against the Kings, but that’s really just how the game went. The Thunder struggled to score early, which is what got them down by 20, but then they stepped it up on defense to mount the comeback. I feel like they’ll be in a much better flow tonight, and while I think they beat the Spurs handily, I do think San Antonio makes up some scoring late. I’m taking the over again.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 43-33 | 38-37-1 | 31-44 |
| Zack | 54-25 | 42-36-1 | 38-40 |
| Craig | 47-19 | 33-32-1 | 28-37 |