Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
Total: 223.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Pelicans |
| 7-4 (63%) | All | 2-9 (18%) |
| 3-3 (50%) at home | Location | 0-5 (0%) on the road |
| 6-4 (60%) as favorite | Status | 1-5 (16%) as underdog |
| 3-3 (50%) as home favorite | Location Status | 0-2 (0%) as road underdog |
| 0-0 (0%) | Head To Head | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 6-5 (54%) against the over on the season.
- New Orleans is 7-4 (63%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 4-2 (66%) against the over at home.
- The Pelicans are 2-3 (40%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOP | 107.0 | 116.5 | 44.5 | 35.9 | 40.9 | 24.5 | 14.6 | 8.8 | 5.5 | L5 | 2-8 |
| OKC | 117.4 | 105.2 | 46.6 | 35.9 | 43.0 | 26.0 | 12.3 | 12.4 | 7.0 | W1 | 8-2 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Adam Flagler (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (fractured left hand) is OUT.
- Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left ACL surgery recovery) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
Pelicans
- Jose Alvarado (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
- Jordan Hawkins (strained lower back) is OUT.
- Herbert Jones (strained right shoulder) is OUT.
- Karlo Matkovic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- CJ McCollum (strained right adductor) is OUT.
- Dejounte Murray (fractured left hand) is OUT.
- Zion Williams (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
Series History
The Thunder went 2-1 against the Pelicans last year in the regular season (0-1 at home, 2-0 on the road) and 4-0 in the playoffs (2-0 at home, 2-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-14.5)
The Pelicans are severely depleted, missing 4 starters to injury, and they’re simply unable to compete with most teams. OKC has a good opportunity to come out and put this game away early, and they need to do just that. New Orleans is 1-4 on the road with the 4 losses being by at least 15 points. I’m taking the Thunder to win by A LOT.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (223.5)
The Pelicans have one real scoring threat in Brandon Ingram, but the Thunder did a fantastic job at locking him up in the playoffs last year. I expect more of that, and I also expect OKC’s defense to be as good as it has been all season, resulting in a lower total score.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 7-3 | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Zack | 9-2 | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Craig | 8-2 | 7-2-1 | 6-4 |
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