Tip-Off: 6 PM CT
Location: Kia Center (Orlando, Florida)
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
Total: 213
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Magic |
| 16-9 (64%) | All | 16-12 (57%) |
| 8-4 (66%) on the road | Location | 9-2 (81%) at home |
| 15-9-1 (62%) as favorite | Status | 3-6 (33%) as underdog or pick |
| 7-4 (63%) as road favorite | Location Status | 0-1 (0%) as home underdog |
| 1-0 (0%) | Head To Head | 0-1 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 11-14-1 (44%) against the over on the season.
- Orlando is 13-15 (46%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 5-7 (41%) against the over at home.
- The Magic is 5-6 (45%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 115.6 | 103.5 | 46.5 | 35.1 | 43.7 | 25.7 | 11.8 | 12.2 | 6.3 | W5 | 9-1 |
| ORL | 107.1 | 103.5 | 45.1 | 30.8 | 42.1 | 23.9 | 15.0 | 9.6 | 6.9 | L2 | 6-4 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng (small fracture in right ring finger) is OUT.
- Alex Ducas (sprained lower back) is OUT.
- Adam Flagler (fractured right fourth metacarpal) is OUT.
- Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
- Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (sprained left knee) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
Magic
- Paolo Banchero (torn right oblique) is OUT.
- Gary Harris (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
- Mac McClung (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Franz Wagner (torn right oblique) is OUT.
Series History
The Thunder is 1-0 against the Magic this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6.5)
Oklahoma City had a go agains the Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA Cup Championship on Tuesday night, but I don’t expect that to continue. The Thunder shot about as poorly as they will all season long, and despite the quick turnaround and a flight across the country, I think OKC will pick back up where they had previously left off with their 5-win streak. Technically Tuesday night’s loss should have ended the Thunder’s streak, but also technically the game didn’t count for standings or stats. The Magic are without their two best players, and while they have been a solid cover at home, they have been an underdog at home just once, in which they did not cover. OKC should be able to get back to their style of basketball and pick up a good win.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (213)
OKC has struggled offensively at points throughout this season—particularly on Tuesday night—but the Thunder defense has consistently been the best in the league. Regardless of their ability to score, they’re always going to play hard defensively, and that’s similar to what Orlando is able to do. The Magic’s defense has been towards the top of the league, even though they have dealt with some major injuries, and that will be what keeps them in the game tonight. I expect a lower-scoring affair as a result.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 16-8 | 14-10 | 13-11 |
| Zack | 20-6 | 17-9 | 15-11 |
| Craig | 19-6 | 19-5-1 | 14-11 |