Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-13)
Total: 222
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Mavericks |
| 29-15 (65%) | All | 21-22-1 (48%) |
| 16-6 (72%) at home | Location | 9-12-1 (42%) on the road |
| 28-14 (66%) as favorite | Status | 9-10-1 (47%) as underdog or pick |
| 16-6 (72%) as home favorite | Location Status | 5-7-1 (41%) as road underdog |
| 1-2 (33%) | Head To Head | 2-1 (66%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 21-22-1 (48%) against the over on the season.
- Dallas is 21-23 (47%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 12-10 (54%) against the over at home.
- The Mavs are 13-9 (59%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 115.1 | 111.9 | 47.7 | 36.7 | 44.5 | 25.1 | 14.4 | 8.3 | 5.8 | L2 | 3-7 |
| OKC | 116.6 | 103.9 | 47.3 | 35.7 | 43.6 | 26.1 | 12.1 | 11.5 | 5.7 | W2 | 8-2 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
- Isaiah Joe (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Dallas
- Luka Doncic (strained left calf) is OUT.
- Dante Exum (right wrist surgery) is OUT.
- Jaden Hardy (sprained right ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Derek Lively II (stress fracture in right ankle) is OUT.
- Naji Marshall (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Dwight Powell (strained right hip) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Klay Thompson (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
Series History
The Thunder is 1-2 against the Mavericks so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-2 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-13)
Both teams are playing in the second game of a back-to-back, which favors the youth of Oklahoma City, but Dallas had several guys sit out last night who are questionable for tonight’s matchup. It really just depends on who all plays for the Mavericks, but I do think they manage to keep it right around the spread. I anticipate a late cover by Dallas.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (222)
Because both teams played last night, I would expect the defenses to be a step slower, so I’m taking the over on the point total as a result. Again, Dallas has a lot of guys listed as questionable, so if they’re missing tonight, maybe the Mavs will struggle to score and it’ll stay under, but I’m expecting them to play.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 31-11 | 25-16-1 | 18-24 |
| Zack | 36-8 | 32-12 | 21-23 |
| Craig | 35-8 | 29-12-2 | 19-24 |