Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, Indiana)
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
Total: 228.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Pacers |
| 64-37 (63%) | All | 50-49-1 (50%) |
| 26-22 (54%) on the road | Location | 24-23-1 (51%) at home |
| 62-36 (63%) as favorite | Status | 26-19 (57%) as underdog |
| 24-21 (53%) as road favorite | Location Status | 7-6 (53%) as home underdog |
| 3-1 (75%) | Head To Head | 1-3 (25%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 54-46-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
- Indiana is 54-45-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 24-23-1 (51%) against the over on the road.
- The Pacers are 26-22 (54%) against the over at home.
Team Stats (Playoffs)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 116.4 | 113.6 | 49.4 | 40.1 | 40.2 | 27.8 | 13.5 | 7.2 | 5.7 | L1 | 7-3 |
| OKC | 117.0 | 106.6 | 46.1 | 34.0 | 43.9 | 24.6 | 11.6 | 10.9 | 5.5 | W1 | 7-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Pacers
- Isaiah Jackson (torn right Achilles tendon) is OUT.
- Jarace Walker (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
Series History
OKC is tied with Indiana 1-1 in the NBA Finals (1-1 at home, 0-0 on the road). The Thunder went 2-0 against the Pacers in the regular season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-5.5)
The spread for Game 3 in Indiana is half of what it was in Game 2 in OKC for obvious reasons. The Thunder lost Game 3 in each of the previous two playoff series against the Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves; now, they have their work cut out for them in trying to win on the road in Indianapolis. Still, it feels like OKC is playing the most consistent basketball, mostly due to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, while Indiana is relying more on outliers to be successful. As a result, I’m taking the Thunder to take the lead in the series and cover the spread in the process.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (228.5)
After seeing Game 1 go under the point total, Game 2 soared over it, even after both teams emptied their benches in the final minutes. I think this one might have a little more offense even than Game 2, so I’m taking the over on this one.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 75-23 | 60-36-1 | 46-52-1 |
| Zack | 81-20 | 66-35 | 51-50 |
| Craig | 78-21 | 68-29-2 | 51-47-1 |