Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, Indiana)
Spread: Thunder (-6)
Total: 225.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Pacers |
| 64-38 (62%) | All | 51-49-1 (51%) |
| 26-23 (53%) on the road | Location | 24-23-1 (52%) at home |
| 62-37 (62%) as favorite | Status | 27-19 (58%) as underdog |
| 24-22 (52%) as road favorite | Location Status | 8-6 (57%) as home underdog |
| 3-2 (60%) | Head To Head | 2-3 (40%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 54-47-1 (53%) against the over on the season.
- Indiana is 54-46-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 24-24-1 (50%) against the over on the road.
- The Pacers are 26-23 (53%) against the over at home.
Team Stats (Playoffs)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 116.4 | 113.6 | 49.4 | 40.1 | 40.2 | 27.8 | 13.5 | 7.2 | 5.7 | W1 | 7-3 |
| OKC | 116.5 | 107.1 | 46.2 | 34.4 | 43.8 | 24.2 | 12.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | L1 | 6-4 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Pacers
- Isaiah Jackson (torn right Achilles tendon) is OUT.
- Jarace Walker (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
Series History
OKC trails Indiana 2-1 in the NBA Finals (1-1 at home, 0-1 on the road). The Thunder went 2-0 against the Pacers in the regular season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6)
OKC looked sloppy early in Game 3, turning the ball over repeatedly, and it ultimately came back to haunt them as the game progressed. Despite taking a 5-point lead into the fourth quarter, the Thunder was gassed by then, and the Pacers couldn’t seem to miss before pulling away for good. If there’s one thing I know about this Thunder squad, it’s that they bounce back, and I fully anticipate them doing so in Game 4. I like them to win and cover the spread in the process.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (225.5)
OKC shot the ball well in Game 3, but they turned it over far too often, and that cut down on their ability to put up more shots. It’s hard to score when you can’t take care of the ball. I think the Thunder does a better job at possessing the ball, and by now we all know that the Pacers can score in bunches, so I’m taking the over for this one.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 75-24 | 60-37-1 | 47-52-1 |
| Zack | 81-21 | 66-36 | 51-51 |
| Craig | 78-22 | 68-30-2 | 52-47-1 |