After a tough midseason stretch, the crew snapped back into rhythm in Week 11, going 9–3 overall and extending our streak of at least one of us going perfect to five straight weeks. Even better, we’ve pulled even on the season at 69-72-3, putting us on the cusp of climbing above .500 for the first time in weeks. And if there’s anything Week 12 promises, it’s volatility — we’ve got rivalry streaks on the line, conference races coming to a head, and multiple games where more than one of us is planting a flag on the same side of the spread.
The biggest overlap this week comes in the BYU–TCU matchup, where Caleb, Craig, and Zack are all backing the Cougars to bounce back after last weekend’s loss to Texas Tech. Caleb likes them at -3.5, while Craig and Zack grabbed them at -4.5, all citing BYU’s physicality and the expectation that they respond with urgency at home. We’ve also got split-interest in SEC territory: Craig’s rolling with Georgia (-5.5) to put Texas back in its place, while Caleb pushes confidence chips toward Ole Miss (-11.5) to dominate Florida on both sides of the ball. Meanwhile, Matt dives into a trio of value spots — including Texas A&M (-17.5) against a struggling South Carolina squad and Notre Dame (-12.5) exploiting Pitt’s pass defense — while Zack rides with Cincinnati (-6) and Georgia Tech (-16.5) in spots where coaching and matchup advantages loom large. With so many sharp disagreements and a few unanimous vibes on BYU, Week 12 feels like a turning point in our season-long climb back over .500.
2025 Season Results
| Name | Last Week | Overall |
| Zack | 2-1 | 19-16-1 |
| Matt | 2-1 | 18-18 |
| Craig | 2-1 | 17-17-2 |
| Caleb | 3-0 | 15-21 |
Caleb
Iowa +6.5 vs USC – Iowa has a strong defense that has kept them in games. While I think USC will win the game Iowa will keep it close.
BYU -3.5 vs TCU – BYU has been one of the best teams in the Big12. They are looking for a bounce back game after a disappointing loss against Tech. I fully expect BYU to control this game from start to finish.
Ole Miss -11.5 vs Florida – Ole Miss has looked like one of the best teams in the country while Florida has not. Ole Miss should be able to control both sides of the ball with ease.
Craig
Georgia -5.5 vs Texas – There’s been a lot of hype surrounding the Longhorns over the last four weeks or so. But, this is still a team with a lot of flaws facing a Georgia team that has been dominant. I’ll take Georgia to cover this spread at home.
Missouri -6.5 vs Mississippi State – Four out of the five losses for Mississippi State have come by 7 points or less. I do expect that trend to continue and for Mississippi State to keep it close. But, Missouri will win by at least a touchdown.
BYU -4.5 vs TCU – BYU is looking to bounce back after a blowout loss to Texas Tech. Their backs are against the wall now, and I think they’ll come out swinging in this one.
Matt
Texas A&M (-17.5) vs. South Carolina – The Aggies’ offense is clicking (37.8 PPG) and has a clear advantage against South Carolina’s rush defense (80th nationally). The Gamecocks have been blown out in multiple conference losses this season and simply do not have the offensive firepower to keep pace in this one.
Notre Dame (-12.5) at Pittsburgh – Notre Dame’s offense is elite, ranking Top 5 nationally in explosiveness, yards per play, and passing success rate. While Pittsburgh’s run defense is excellent (3rd in EPA/rush), their pass defense is mediocre (73rd in EPA/pass) and they are prone to allowing big plays through the air. In short, Notre Dame’s offense should be able to score often enough to pull away.
Northwestern (+10.5) vs. Michigan – The Wolverines are just 3-6 against the spread this season and have failed to cover four times as a double-digit favorite. They tend to grind out wins without blowing teams out.
Zack
Arizona at Cincinnati (-6) – Arizona looked pretty good early in the season, but they’ve yet to pick up a legitimate win against a good team. Cincinnati is kind of in the same boat, but I think they’re the better offensive team, so winning by a touchdown at home shouldn’t be too difficult.
Georgia Tech (-16.5) at Boston College – The Yellow Jackets are coming off a bye week following an embarrassing loss to NC State. I think they right the ship and take care of business at Boston College.
TCU at BYU (-4.5) – TCU is one of those teams that can stick around and seemingly give anyone a game, but BYU is downright better. I see them proving why they deserve their ranking after not giving Texas Tech much of a game last week.
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