Tip-Off: 8 PM CT
Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, Nevada)
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
Total: 232.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Spurs |
| 14-11 (56%) | All | 12-11-1 (52%) |
| 7-5 (58%) at home | Location | 5-8 (38%) on the road |
| 14-11 (56%) as favorite | Status | 7-3 (70%) as underdog |
| 7-5 (58%) as home favorite | Location Status | 5-3 (62%) as road underdog |
| 0-0 (0%) | Head To Head | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 14-11 (56%) against the over on the season.
- San Antonio is 14-10 (58%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 7-5 (58%) against the over at home.
- The Suns are 9-4 (69%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 120.1 | 115.4 | 48.6 | 36.9 | 44.8 | 25.9 | 14.7 | 8.5 | 4.7 | W2 | 7-3 |
| OKC | 123.6 | 106.2 | 50.1 | 38.1 | 44.6 | 26.8 | 12.7 | 10.2 | 5.4 | W16 | 10-0 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Isaiah Joe (left knee contusion) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
Spurs
- Harrison Ingram (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- David Jones Garcia (G League — two-way) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Riley Minix (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Victor Wembanyama (strained left calf) is PROBABLE.
Series History
OKC went 2-1 against San Antonio last season (1-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-10.5)
For the first time since Game 7 of the NBA Finals, the Thunder will have all 5 starters healthy and ready to go. OKC has been dominant through the first 25 games of the season, and they’re finally almost at full strength. Meanwhile, Victor Wembanyama should make his return to the Spurs tonight after missing several weeks with a calf strain. It’s likely going to take a lot for San Antonio to keep this one to single digits, so I’m taking the Thunder to cover.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (232.5)
These Cup games come with more competition—Wednesday’s domination over Phoenix excluded—so while I think OKC covers, I don’t think the point total goes over. I can see this one being more of a defensive battle, especially with the return of Isaiah Hartenstein for the Thunder and Victor Wembanyama for the Spurs.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 23-2 | 14-10 | 10-15 |
| Zack | 24-1 | 13-12 | 12-13 |
| Craig | 24-1 | 11-13-1 | 8-17 |