Friday Locks | Alabama/Florida State, Texas/Maryland, West Virginia/Virginia Tech

Friday Locks is back! It’s our weekly segment where we show you exactly how much we don’t know about picking against the spread. On tap this week are games featuring the Oklahoma Sooners, Texas Longhorns, West Virginia, and the biggest game of the weekend, Alabama & Florida State.


Oklahoma (-43) vs. UTEP 

I usually try to avoid picking the Sooners, especially when it’s by such a large margin. However, this Oklahoma team has a lot to prove in their opener. Lincoln Riley will be making his Head Coach debut, and he will want to impress.

Maryland (+18.5) vs. Texas

How many years in a row does Texas get to finish 5-7 and be ranked in the top 25 the next year? Look, just because you got a new coach and some good athletes doesn’t mean they know how to play together. Texas will win, but not by more than two touchdowns.

Alabama (-7) vs. Florida State

Alabama is starting out the reason in the #1 position, and they very much deserve it. I think Bama will take care of business against the Noles. Nick Saban is one of he best in the game, and he will have his guys ready.


Maryland (+18.5) at Texas

Yes, I get it. There’s a new atmosphere and a new attitude in Austin. You’ll have to forgive me but I’ve heard this before, about four years ago to be exact. I do believe that Tom Herman is the real deal and can bring the Longhorns back to the forefront of college football’s elite. However, I don’t feel that he has the weapons just yet. Give me Maryland and those points.

Michigan (-3.5) vs. Florida

This would have been a much better game without all of the Florida suspensions. As it stands, I like Michigan by a touchdown or better.

Florida State (+7) vs. Alabama

Don’t buy into the hype of the logo. Alabama is good for sure, most likely the best in the SEC, but there are a lot of question marks to start the season. I believe the Tide will be much better in November than they are the first Saturday in September which leaves room for FSU to put them on upset alert.


Maryland (+18.5) vs Texas

I still have yet to buy a ticket for the Longhorn Hype Train as the season begins. This is a program that lost to Kansas a year ago and returns much of the same talent. Needless to say, Maryland is bringing in a quality rushing attack that should pick up where it left off last season — 200 yards per game. Boasting a revamped defense thanks to DJ Durkin, I think the Terapins keep this respectable and cover the spread.

West Virginia (+4) vs Virginia Tech

After recording our podcast, I’ve constantly found myself swaying one way then the other. However, I finally settled on the Mountaineers securing a victory in an NFL stadium. Why? It all depends on the play of Will Grier. I believe he can and has put the past behind him and is ready to lead this program.

Alabama (-7) vs Florida State

While I hold that preseason rankings are meaningless, Alabama continues to bring in top level talent. Possessing the opportunity to make a statement in week 1, I believe the Crimson Tide flexes a bit of muscle. This is undoubtedly the best team in the country and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Alabama hoisting the trophy once again at the turn of the new year.


Michigan (-3.5) vs. Florida

This is a no-brainer for me. I think Michigan is highly overrated coming into this season, and Florida is probably the better team, but the Gators are dealing with a number of suspensions, including starting running back Jordan Scarlett. Because of the suspensions, I give the Wolverines the the nod to cover the spread.

Alabama (-7) vs. Florida State

The Crimson Tide are the clearcut preseason #1 team in the nation, but the Seminoles are close at #3. Despite the rankings being close, I don’t think the talent discrepancy is all that close. Alabama has only lost seven home games since Nick Saban arrived in Tuscaloosa in 2007, and three of those losses came in his first season there. I foresee Alabama winning this game by two touchdowns as Florida State will be exposed as one of several teams are overrated headed into opening weekend.

West Virginia vs. Virginia Tech (-4)

As much as I want to see the Big 12 do well in non-conference games, I just don’t see the Mountaineers being able to pull off a challenging opening game with a new quarterback who hasn’t played since 2015 on the road against a ranked team. This game will be close, but the Hokies will pull out a win and cover the spread.

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