Well…we’ve had better weeks than last week’s selections. We’re looking to bounce back as the Big 12 starts conference play. There are some big point spreads to attack this week (looking at you Oklahoma and West Virginia) and some spreads that make you question how much respect, or lack of, is thrown towards a team (get that chip off your shoulder TCU).
Friday Locks Season Results
West Virginia (-21) @ Kansas – West Virginia simply has too much fire power for the Jayhawks to keep up with. Will Grier has been on fire and that won’t change on Saturday. Even though the game is in Lawrence, I like the Mountaineers.
OU (-27) @ Baylor – I keep saying that I don’t like picking the Sooners by a large spread, but here I am again. I think Oklahoma is on a mission this year. After seeing Baylor lose three in a row, I have confidence in the Sooners winning big on the road.
TCU (+11.5) @ Oklahoma State – The Horned Frogs have been the team that has impressed me the most so far this year. I didn’t think they’d be playing at the level that they are. I think the Pokes will win on Saturday, but not by more than two scores.
Houston (-6) vs. Texas Tech – I have to admit that Texas Tech has been better than I expected them to be but I don’t like this spot for them. They are coming off a big shootout win last week against Arizona State and now take to the road to play a team that is allowing less than 10 points per game.
TCU (+13) at Oklahoma State – I feel like I pick against Oklahoma State a lot on this segment (I really don’t) but I like this spot for the Frogs. TCU scores, on average, five points fewer per game than OSU but allow 3 fewer points. The Frogs will bring balance on offense to this game, Oklahoma State’s defense hasn’t had to contend with that yet. I like the Pokes to win but the Frogs to cover.
Oklahoma (-27.5) at Baylor – I typically try to stay away from picking games that involve Oklahoma because I don’t want my fandom to influence my choice. That said, I just don’t see any way that the Bears are able to keep this close. I’m calling for a late cover by the Sooners.
West Virginia (-21) @ Kansas – Despite this being a home game for the Jayhawks, there’s a lot of fire power on the West Virginia side of the field. The Mountaineers are scoring at a pace of 46 points per game while limiting their opponent to roughly 22 points. I think it’s safe to say this should be a comfortable win the WVU.
Oklahoma State (-11.5) vs TCU – I think this game comes down to turnovers. Currently, no opponent has forced Kenny Hill to shoulder the responsibility of throwing to win the game. On Saturday, the TCU quarterback very well find himself in that exact situation. In turn, I believe it leads to OSU winning the turnover battle as well as the game.
Mississippi St. (+6.5) @ Georgia – After dismantling the LSU Tigers last week, most opponents in the SEC are now aware of the MSU Bulldogs. However, Georgia hasn’t completed a home slate undefeated since 2012. I think the trend may continue here in 2017 as MSU hands Georgia their first loss of the season. Or am I buying too much into the hype here?
West Virginia (-21) at Kansas – This is easy. Kansas is as awful as ever, and West Virginia has looked nice after losing to Virginia Tech in week one. The Mountaineers should have no issues with winning by three touchdowns.
OU (-27) at Baylor – The Bears are even worse than was anticipated in the preseason, and the Sooners are coming off a solid win against Tulane despite a shaky first quarter. I’ll be shocked if Baylor can score at all, let alone keep up with the Baker Mayfield led offense.
Texas Tech at Houston (-6) – I’m not convinced that Kliff Kingsbury has turned the Red Raiders into a solid team. They’re pretenders as far as I’m concerned. I think playing at home gives the Cougars the touchdown advantage they need to cover the spread.