Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder Against The Spread | Boston Is A Terrible Road Favorite

M. Hofeld

matthofeld

Tip-Off: 8:00 PM CT

Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Celtics (-8)

Total: 218.5

Celtics/Thunder Trends Against The Spread

CelticsThunder
All
21-24 (46%)24-20 (54%)
Location
9-16 (36%) on the road9-12 (42%) at home
Status
12-16 (42%) as a favorite22-20 (52%) as an underdog or pick
Location Status
3-10 (30%) as a road favorite8-12 (40%) as a home underdog
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)

Celtics/Thunder Trends Against The Total

OKC is 21-22-1 against the over this season.

Boston is 25-20 against the over this season.

The Thunder are hitting the over 61% of the time at home.

The Celtics are hitting the over 60% of the time on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
BOS112.4111.547.043.823.05.27.9W14-6
 OKC106.4112.044.944.523.04.57.0L15-5

Key Players

Small forward Jayson Tatum leads the Celtics in points (25) and assists (4.4) per game. He’s coming off a 34-point performance that helped Boston upset Milwaukee on Friday night.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead the charge for the Thunder. He’s averaging 23.7 points and 5.9 assists per game this season.

Series History

First meeting of the season

Why The Thunder Will Cover (+8)

Tonight is a battle between a bad home team and an even worse road team. The stats above more than prove how bad each have been in this particular situation. Another consideration here is that this is the second game of a back-to-back for Boston and the Celtics are 3-6 against the spread in that particular situation. On the other hand Oklahoma City is fresh and the Thunder are beating the spread 55% of the time this season following a day off.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Will Hit The Over (218.5)

Playing after an off day hasn’t been a recipe to success for the Thunder in terms of hitting the over. OKC is just 42% against the over following an off day but Boston is extremely strong in the second night of a back-to-back. The Celtics are hitting the over 77% of the time on the second night and I feel like that’s more than enough to carry to the over here.

Oklahoma City is creeping closer and closer to getting over .500 against the over this season. Following Wednesday night’s game against Memphis the Thunder are now hitting the over 48% of the time. However, OKC has been much stronger against the over at home where they are hitting it 61% of the time. Boston is also nailing the over 60% of the time on the road so that gives us a clear choice tonight.

On The Season

I’m still in the midst of my slump against the over/under but I’m inching closer to .500 with my picks against the spread.

Against the Spread: 7-13 Last Pick: Memphis (-6.5) at OKC

Over/Under: 12-8 Last Pick: Memphis/OKC under (218.5)

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