San Antonio’s Defensive Blueprint Became Oklahoma City’s Biggest Problem Sunday Night

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Picking the Playoffs: Can the Spurs Save the Series — or Are We Watching Oklahoma City Take Control?

The honesty section comes first tonight. This Western Conference Finals has been a disaster for us. After a brutal 0-3 showing Friday night, our postseason…

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 4 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

“Game 4 is an important game” is a severe understatement. Either way, the Thunder is heading back to OKC with homecourt advantage, so the pressure is definitely less than if they had given away Game 3 to the Spurs. Still, you don’t want to let your opponent gain any momentum in this series, and if San Antonio were to win big to tie up the series, they would likely be feeling pretty good about themselves. On the flip side, San Antonio should be feeling all the pressure in the world to win this one. Going down 3-1 before heading back to the loudest arena in the NBA would not be good news for the Spurs.

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Thunder Against the Spread | Spurs Favored Over Thunder in San Antonio for WCF Game 4

Oklahoma City was an underdog in Game 3, but they proved why championship experience so often beats out youthful talent. Despite going down 15-0 right out of the gate, the Thunder fought back—little by little—to win by 15. With a 2-1 lead, Game 4 is leaning heavily on the Spurs in terms of pressure, whereas OKC is probably feeling pretty good. San Antonio SHOULD win this game in terms of a typical NBA Playoff narrative, but I think the Thunder—even with missing key players—have far too much depth and resolution to let one go easily. I expect a close game, and while I do expect OKC to win, even if the Spurs do pull it out, it won’t be by more than 2 points.

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 3 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

Wemby had a monster stat line in Game 1, and SGA looked like the reigning MVP in Game 2. Either one—or both—could have another big night in Game 3, but as the series goes longer, the team with the better “other guys” is going to have a much better chance at pulling out the win. OKC is about as deep as they come, but San Antonio has its fair share of depth.

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Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Enters Game 3 of WCF Against Spurs as Rare Underdog

OKC is 2-1 in clutch games out of 10 playoff games played so far. San Antonio is 2-4 in clutch games out of 13 playoff games played so far. Both Games 1 and 2 were close ones, with each team taking a win apiece, and Game 3 should be another game decided in the clutch. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the reigning clutch player of the year, and though he’s not been nearly as hot late in games in the playoffs, I trust him over Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, or anybody else San Antonio has. I think OKC pulls this one out to take a 2-1 series lead.

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Western Conference Finals Game 2 Preview: San Antonio Spurs

Game 2 will be a big game of adjustments as Mark Daigneault tries to get the Thunder ready to tie up the series. Attack the rim more—even if Wemby is in the paint—rebound the ball at a much more efficient rate, and keep the crowd in the game by way of momentum.

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