Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)
Raptors/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|20-26-1 (43%)||24-22 (52%)|
|11-15 (42%) on the road||9-14 (39%) at home|
|10-16 (38%) as a favorite||22-22 (50%) as an underdog or pick|
|5-8 (38%) as a road favorite||8-14 (36%) as a home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Raptors/Thunder Trends Against The Total
OKC is 22-23-1 against the over this season.
Toronto is 27-20 against the over this season.
The Thunder are hitting the over 60% of the time at home.
The Raptors are hitting the over 65% of the time on the road.
Shooting guard Fred VanVleet leads the Raptors with an average of 20.1 points per game. Power forward Pascal Siakam is pulling down a team high 7.4 rebounds per contest and point guard Kyle Lowry (listed as day-to-day on the injury report) is dishing out 7.3 rebounds per game.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to be Oklahoma City’s primary source for scoring. The Thunder shooting guard is producing 23.7 points and 5.9 assists (also a team high) per game. Power forward Darius Bazley leads OKC with 7.5 rebounds per game.
First meeting of the season
Why The Thunder Will Cover (+7.5)
Toronto is limping into this game having won just one of its last ten games. Both teams are currently riding a three-game losing streak but the Raptors are trending below 50% in terms of every major trend against the spread. Toronto bottoms out when they’re favored between 6 to 9 points. In that situation they are covering the spread just 30% of the time.
Oklahoma City has three incredibly favorable trends going in its favor tonight. The Thunder are covering the spread 66% of the time when facing a team that has won less than 45% of its games. Against teams that allow opponents to score more than 102 points per game the Thunder are covering the spread 51% of the time. Finally, OKC covers the spread 52% of the time following an off day.
Why The Game Will Hit The Over (221)
Toronto is hitting the over 57% of the time this season while Oklahoma City is doing so just 48% of the time. However, on the road the Raptors are hitting the over 65% of the time this season while the Thunder are going over the total 60% of the time at home. When playing against teams that allow opponents to average more than 102 points per game Toronto is going over the total 65% of the time and OKC is doing so 60% of the time.
On The Season
We’re still riding the struggle bus here but let’s keep plugging away.
Against the Spread: 7-14 Last Pick: OKC (+7.5 ) vs. Boston
Over/Under: 12-9 Last Pick: OKC/Boston under (217.5)
I’m hitting 57% of my NBA picks this week. You can follow my picks here.
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