Thunder Against The Spread | Ride Or Die As 7.5-Point Home Dogs To Toronto

Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT

Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Raptors (-7.5)

Total: 221

Raptors/Thunder Trends Against The Spread

20-26-1 (43%)24-22 (52%)
11-15 (42%) on the road9-14 (39%) at home
10-16 (38%) as a favorite22-22 (50%) as an underdog or pick
Location Status
5-8 (38%) as a road favorite8-14 (36%) as a home underdog
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)

Raptors/Thunder Trends Against The Total

OKC is 22-23-1 against the over this season.

Toronto is 27-20 against the over this season.

The Thunder are hitting the over 60% of the time at home.

The Raptors are hitting the over 65% of the time on the road.

Team Stats


Key Players

Shooting guard Fred VanVleet leads the Raptors with an average of 20.1 points per game. Power forward Pascal Siakam is pulling down a team high 7.4 rebounds per contest and point guard Kyle Lowry (listed as day-to-day on the injury report) is dishing out 7.3 rebounds per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to be Oklahoma City’s primary source for scoring. The Thunder shooting guard is producing 23.7 points and 5.9 assists (also a team high) per game. Power forward Darius Bazley leads OKC with 7.5 rebounds per game.

Series History

First meeting of the season

Why The Thunder Will Cover (+7.5)

Toronto is limping into this game having won just one of its last ten games. Both teams are currently riding a three-game losing streak but the Raptors are trending below 50% in terms of every major trend against the spread. Toronto bottoms out when they’re favored between 6 to 9 points. In that situation they are covering the spread just 30% of the time.

Oklahoma City has three incredibly favorable trends going in its favor tonight. The Thunder are covering the spread 66% of the time when facing a team that has won less than 45% of its games. Against teams that allow opponents to score more than 102 points per game the Thunder are covering the spread 51% of the time. Finally, OKC covers the spread 52% of the time following an off day.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Will Hit The Over (221)

Toronto is hitting the over 57% of the time this season while Oklahoma City is doing so just 48% of the time. However, on the road the Raptors are hitting the over 65% of the time this season while the Thunder are going over the total 60% of the time at home. When playing against teams that allow opponents to average more than 102 points per game Toronto is going over the total 65% of the time and OKC is doing so 60% of the time.

On The Season

We’re still riding the struggle bus here but let’s keep plugging away.

Against the Spread: 7-14 Last Pick: OKC (+7.5 ) vs. Boston

Over/Under: 12-9 Last Pick: OKC/Boston under (217.5)

I’m hitting 57% of my NBA picks this week. You can follow my picks here.

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