Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder Against The Spread | The Reason For Hope Against Detroit

M. Hofeld

matthofeld

Tip-Off: 6:00 PM CT

Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Raptors (-3)

Total: 213.5

Pistons/Thunder Trends Against The Spread

PistonsThunder
All
25-21-3 (54%)25-24 (51%)
Location
12-10-3 (54%) on the road10-14 (41%) at home
Status
0-2 (0%) as a favorite23-24 (48%) as an underdog or pick
Location Status
0-0 (38%) as a road favorite9-14 (39%) as a home underdog
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)

Pistons/Thunder Trends Against The Total

OKC is 22-25-1 against the over this season.

Detroit is 24-25 against the over this season.

The Thunder are hitting the over 58% of the time at home.

The Pistons are hitting the over 52% of the time on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
 DET106.8110.944.342.724.35.17.8L14-6
 OKC105.8112.044.645.022.44.56.9L23-7

Key Players

Former Thunder small forward Jerami Grant is pacing Detroit in scoring this season with an average of 22.4 points per game. He’s shooting 35.3% from three-point range and 42.4% overall from the floor. OKC may catch a break tonight with Mason Plumlee being listed as day-to-day. Plumlee is leading Detroit with 9.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game.

Raise your hand if you know exactly who is going to play for OKC tonight. The Thunder are in full tank mode with an injury report list seemingly a mile long. SGA and Darius Bazeley are both out for OKC which means youngsters are going to be in the spotlight. One guy to keep an eye on is center Moses Brown who could benefit greatly from Al Horford being out on the shelf and Isaiah Roby being put in concussion protocol.

Series History

First meeting of the season

Why The Thunder Will Cover (+3)

Look, it’s been nothing but bad for Oklahoma City recently as the team has entered full-on tank mode to close out the season. Over the last two games OKC has lost by a combined 85 points but I’m still crazy enough to tell you that there’s hope tonight. The reason why is that Detroit seems to be in the same bad shape as the Thunder. This is the first time on the season that the Pistons have been a road favorite so there’s that. Also, the Thunder are 7-2 this season when they are 1.5 to 4.5 underdogs. What that tells us is that OKC is pretty good when matched up against a similar team.

The Thunder are also covering the spread 70% of the time when facing teams that have won less that 45% of its games and OKC covers 52% of the time following a day off. Call me crazy but I think there’s a real chance for the Thunder tonight.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (213.5)

I’ve been in a massive slump recently so take what I say here with a grain of salt. While I do think there’s hope OKC can cover as an underdog this evening I have little to no hope for this game hitting the over. Both teams are struggling to score as of late but there may not be a team struggling more to produce points than what the Thunder are doing right now.

On the season both are hitting the over less than 50% of the time and OKC is only hitting it 20% of the time when the total is between 211.5 and 214.5. After a day off Detroit only hits the over 48% of the time and the Thunder are even worse at 43% of the time.

I just don’t see the over happening here.

On The Season

I’ve missed the last two games due to traveling with my job but I did break my funk with the last post I made (Toronto game) hitting both the spread and the under.

Against the Spread: 8-14 Last Pick: OKC (+7.5 ) vs. Toronto

Over/Under: 13-9 Last Pick: OKC/Toronto under (223)

You can follow all of my NBA picks here.

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