Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
Spread: Houston (-2)
Thunder/Rockets Trends Against The Spread
|13-6 (68%) Overall||8-10-1 (44%) Overal|
|6-3 (66%) on the road||3-5 (57%) at home|
|12-6 (66%) as an underdog||1-1 (50%) as a favorite|
|6-3 (66%) as a road favorite||1-1 (50%) as a home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|1-1 (50%)||1-1 (50%)|
Thunder/Rockets Trends Against The Total
OKC is hitting the over 31% of the time this season.
The Rockets are hitting the over 38% of the time this season.
The Thunder are 2-7 against the over on the road.
Houston is 3-5 against the over on the road.
Houston center Christian Wood is averaging 20.5 points per game, while shooting 40% from three-point range and 48.6% from the floor, against Oklahoma City. On the season he’s averaging 16.4 points 11.3 rebounds per game. Shooting guard Kevin Porter, Jr. is dishing out 5.8 assists per game and small forward Jae’Sean Tate is shooting 48.3% from the floor.
The Thunder get some good news with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander returning to the floor tonight. SGA is averaging 14 points and 5.5 assists against the Rockets this season. He’s struggled from long-range where he’s shooting just 14.3% from beyond the arch. His season totals are much better than that though. He’s averaging 20.1 points per night which is why, despite his recent struggles, he’ll be a welcomed addition back into the lineup.
Lu Dort is shooting 43.2% from the floor for OKC and Josh Giddy is dishing out an average of 5.7 assists per game.
Game 1 | Houston 124 – OKC 91
Game 2 | OKC 101 – Houston 89
Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+2)
I’m back to having trust issues with the Thunder. Kenrich Williams is out tonight but he’s contributed very little against the Rockets this season. My trust issues have more to do with the Thunder averaging just 96 points per game on the road while giving up an average of 106 to opponents. Meanwhile, the Rockets are averaging nearly 108 points per game at home. Add to the fact that the Rockets are coming into tonight on a two-game winning streak and I don’t like the odds of covering a 2-point spread. It’ll be a close game but I think in the 5-10 point window as opposed to the 1-5 point window in favor of the Rockets.
In each of the first two match-ups between these two teams this season the road team has struggled heavily. That potentially puts OKC in a bad spot.
Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (216.5)
There’s a pretty simple reason to take the under tonight. Houston is only hitting the over 37% of the time on the road this season and Oklahoma City is at an even worse 22% of the time on the road. I honestly don’t think we need to look further than that but I could bring up the point that these two have yet to hit the over when playing each other this season and the Thunder are 4-12 against the over after a day off while the Rockets are 5-11-1 against the over following a day off.
On The Season
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