Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
Spread: Wolves (-8.5)
Thunder/Wolves Trends Against The Spread
|23-13 (63%) Overall||20-17 (54%) Overall|
|10-7 (58%) on the road||9-11 (45%) at home|
|22-11 (64%) as an underdog or pick||6-7 (46%) as a favorite|
|10-7 (58%) as a road underdog||5-6 (45%) as a home favorite|
|Head To Head|
Thunder/Wolves Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 38% of the time this season.
- The Wolves are hitting the over 51% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 7-10 against the over on the road.
- Minnesota is 7-13 against the over at home.
The Timberwolves have a lot of star talent in Karl-Anthony Towns and D’Angelo Russell, but both of those have been out due to health & safety protocols, and while they may make a return tonight, it would be tough to expect their normal output due to their time missed. With that being said, Anthony Edwards is the guy you need to pay attention to tonight.
The reigning rookie of the year has improved in every major statistical category, and he’s a key piece to Minnesota’s team both now and down the line. In 35.7 minutes per game, Edwards is averaging 22.3 points on 43.8% shooting from the field and 35.8% from three. He’s also putting up 5.6 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and 1.5 steals per outing, so he able to effect the game in a lot of different ways.
After missing Sunday’s matchup with the Dallas Mavericks due to health and safety protocols, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is back in action tonight. SGA leads the Thunder in scoring with 22.7 points per game on 41.8% shooting from the field and just 28.4% from three. He’s also averaging 5.2 assists, 4.8 rebounds, and a steal per outing.
Shai has struggled with his shot at different times throughout the season, and part of that is due to finding his role as both the leader of this young squad and the one primarily responsible for assisting his younger counterparts in their development. Regardless of his slumps, this Thunder squad goes as Shai goes, so OKC will look to him early and often tonight.
This is the first meeting of the season between the Thunder and the Timberwolves.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+8.5)
The Timberwolves are a better team than the Thunder, and they definitely have the better starting lineup considering that the OKC is missing a few pieces, but the Thunder has a lot of solid young talent that is going to keep them in this one. 8.5 points is a lot for a team that hasn’t really impressed so far this season, and OKC is much more consistent at covering the spread than Minnesota.
Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (215.5)
The Thunder has the lowest scoring offense in the league, and that has been the case for much of the season. Simply put, they don’t put up a lot of points, even on their best night. On the flip side, Minnesota is in the middle of the pack in points per game, and they give up quite a few points as well. Even with taking all of that into consideration, I just don’t see the points being scored in what will be a return game for a lot of key scorers for both teams.
On the Season