Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (OKC)
Spread: Thunder (-1)
Bulls/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|25-24 (51%) Overall||30-16-1 (65%)|
|11-13 (45%) on the road||15-7-1 (68%) at home|
|16-10 (61%) as an underdog or pick||1-1 (50%) as a favorite|
|11-6 (64%) as road underdog||1-1 (50%) as a home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Pacers/Thunder Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 40% of the time this season.
- The Pacers are hitting the over 49% of the time this season.
- Indiana is 9-15 against the over on the road.
- The Thunder are 10-13 against the over at home.
This is the first meeting of the season between the Thunder and the Pacers.
Why the Thunder Won’t Cover (-1)
I’m afraid that potential heartbreak awaits OKC at the Paycom Center tonight. Everything about this game indicates that the Thunder should win, so much so that they’re even a favorite for just the third time this season. That said, the trends that really bother me here are Indiana’s performances as an underdog this season. Against the spread in general the Pacers are only covering 51% of the time. However, when playing as an underdog Indiana covers the spread 61% of the time and as a road underdog they cover 64% of the time.
We’re talking about a 1-point spread here for OKC so if you’re going to take the Pacers and those trends then you’ve got to take them to win this game. It looks like there’s the strong possibility that Indiana could steal away what should be a home win for the Thunder.
Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (217)
I got burned by picking the under when OKC played the Bulls on Monday. I’m not changing my stance though. The under on a game involving Oklahoma City is still the safest pick. Both teams are hitting the over less than 50% of the time this season and the Pacers are only hitting it 37% of the time on the road. The Thunder are matching that 37% when playing following a day off and when the total is greater than 205 points OKC hits the over just 39% of the time.
On the Season
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