Tip-Off: 6 PM CT
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, Indiana)
Spread: Pacers (-7)
Thunder/Pacers Trends Against The Spread
|36-20-3 (64%)||29-31 (48%)|
|20-10 (66%) on the road||16-15 (51%) at home|
|35-19-3 (64%) as an underdog or pick||12-15 (44%) as a favorite|
|20-10 (66%) as a road underdog||11-8 (57%) as home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|0-1 (0%)||1-0 (100%)|
Thunder/Pacers Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 44% of the time this season.
- The Pacers are hitting the over 55% of the time this season.
- Indiana is 20-11 against the over at home.
- The Thunder are 12-18 against the over on the road.
This is the second meeting of the season for Oklahoma City and Indiana. The Pacers won the first game, in OKC, 113-110.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+6.5)
The Pacers pretty much have an even margin at home, scoring 112.5 points per game while allowing opponents to score 112.6 points. That’s a boost to Oklahoma City who is only managing 100.7 points per game on the road this season. That should put the Thunder with around 106 points tonight if those averages hold. Speaking of averages, OKC continues to be strong against the spread on the road. The Thunder are covering 66% of the time on the road. That should make for an entertainingly close game tonight.
Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (226)
I honestly don’t thing this game hits the over but there are two trends that scare me a little in picking the under. Oklahoma City hits the over 55% of the time on the second night of a back-to-back and the Pacers hit it 58% of the time following a day off. Other than that there are some significant trends that would lead you to believe in the under. Indiana only hits the over 50% of the time when playing an opponent who averages 99-102 points per game. The Thunder hit the over just 37% of the time when playing a road opponent that averages more than 102 points scored per game. When the point total is greater than 205 OKC hits the over just 42% of the time.
On the Season
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