Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Nuggets (-6.0)
Thunder/Nuggets Trends Against The Spread
|3-4 (42%)||6-1 (85%)|
|1-3 (25%) on the road||3-1 (75%) at home|
|2-4 (33%) as favorite||5-1 (83%) as underdog|
|0-3 (0%) as road favorite||2-1 (66%) as home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-1 (0%)||1-0 (100%)|
Thunder/Nuggets Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 57% of the time this season.
- The Nuggets have hit the over 57% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 2-2 against the over at home this season.
- Denver is 3-1 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder is 0-1 against the Nuggets so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Nuggets Will Cover (-6.0)
Oklahoma City has been almost perfect at covering the spread so far this season with a 6-1 record. Tonight’s matchup, however, is a little trickier to pick. On paper, the Nuggets are clearly a better team. Nikola Jokic is the reigning back-to-back MVP, Jamal Murray is back after a year off due to injury, and Michael Porter Jr. is an exciting young up-and-comer. Still, Denver is just a 6-point favorite, and that’s likely due to their lack of consistency so far. Meanwhile, OKC has been rolling with 4 straight wins. I feel like it’s a trap to expect the Thunder to keep winning, at least against a legitimate contender like Denver, so I’m going to have to take the Nuggets to cover the slim spread.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)
The Thunder continues to struggle with shooting the ball from downtown, and that is the main reason I’m taking the under on the point total tonight. The Nuggets have looked questionable at best on the defensive end of the ball through 7 games, but if they can force the Thunder into shooting a bunch of threes, Denver might look a lot better tonight. OKC has actually been pretty solid defensively, so put all of that together, and I’m feeling good about this game not breaking the 228.5 point total.
On the Season