Thunder Against the Spread | Don’t Expect OKC to Cover Against the Bucks

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee, Wisconsin)

Spread: Bucks (-6.5)

Total: 220

Thunder/Bucks Trends Against The Spread

6-2 (75%)7-1 (87%)
3-0 (100%) on the road5-1 (83%) at home
5-2 (71%) as underdog6-1 (85%) as favorite
Location Status
3-0 (100%) as road underdog5-1 (83%) as home favorite
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (100%)
  • OKC has hit the over 62% of the time this season.
  • The Bucks have hit the over 37% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 2-1 against the over at home this season.
  • Milwaukee is 3-3 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats


Series History

The Thunder went 0-2 against the Bucks last season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Bucks Will Cover (-6.5)

Oklahoma City is 3-0 at covering the spread on the road, but tonight’s numbers worry me a bit. Milwaukee is undefeated, AND they have the second +/- in the NBA at +11.5. The Bucks aren’t just beating teams, they’re beating them by a solid amount. Even though I think the Thunder can keep this one close-ish, I do think Milwaukee will win by at least 7.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (220)

Milwaukee gives up a league-low 102.0 points per game, and the Thunder isn’t too shabby at 12th in the league giving up 112.3 points per game. The Thunder has a pretty small chance at being Milwaukee’s first loss, but because the Bucks are playing in the second game of a back-to-back, I think the defense might be a little behind, resulting in more points. These offenses are good enough to put up a few points each, and so I think the over just barely hits.

On the Season


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