Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee, Wisconsin)
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)
Thunder/Bucks Trends Against The Spread
|6-2 (75%)||7-1 (87%)|
|3-0 (100%) on the road||5-1 (83%) at home|
|5-2 (71%) as underdog||6-1 (85%) as favorite|
|3-0 (100%) as road underdog||5-1 (83%) as home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (100%)|
Thunder/Bucks Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 62% of the time this season.
- The Bucks have hit the over 37% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 2-1 against the over at home this season.
- Milwaukee is 3-3 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder went 0-2 against the Bucks last season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Bucks Will Cover (-6.5)
Oklahoma City is 3-0 at covering the spread on the road, but tonight’s numbers worry me a bit. Milwaukee is undefeated, AND they have the second +/- in the NBA at +11.5. The Bucks aren’t just beating teams, they’re beating them by a solid amount. Even though I think the Thunder can keep this one close-ish, I do think Milwaukee will win by at least 7.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (220)
Milwaukee gives up a league-low 102.0 points per game, and the Thunder isn’t too shabby at 12th in the league giving up 112.3 points per game. The Thunder has a pretty small chance at being Milwaukee’s first loss, but because the Bucks are playing in the second game of a back-to-back, I think the defense might be a little behind, resulting in more points. These offenses are good enough to put up a few points each, and so I think the over just barely hits.
On the Season