Thunder Against the Spread | Cautiously Take OKC to Cover Against Denver

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Nuggets (-3)

Total: 231.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Nuggets
All
10-7 (58%)7-10 (41%)
Location
4-4 (50%) at home4-7 (36%) on the road
Status
9-4 (64%) as underdog or pick5-8 (38%) as favorite
Location Status
3-3 (50%) as home underdog2-5 (28%) as road favorite
Head To Head
1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)
  • OKC has hit the over 70% of the time this season.
  • The Nuggets have hit the over 47% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 6-2 against the over at home this season.
  • Denver is 7-4 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
DEN113.5113.649.440.343.527.515.67.24.0L16-4
OKC116.4117.547.034.244.425.213.88.16.4L23-7

Series History

The Thunder is 0-2 against the Nuggets so far this season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+3)

I’ll be honest: I’m not a big fan of a 3-point spread against a potential Western Conference juggernaut. While the Nuggets should be considered one of the favorites to come out of the West on top, they certainly haven’t been playing like it, and perhaps that’s why this spread is so close. Denver hasn’t done a great job at covering the spread all season, particularly on the road, and with OKC coming off a rough game on Monday, I think they are going to come out much more focused against the Nuggets.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (231.5)

In two meetings so far this season, the Thunder and the Nuggets have combined for 239 and 232. OKC has only increased their scoring potential since then, so I’m betting this one is an offensive showdown.

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt7-1010-78-9
Zack11-612-58-8-1
Craig10-57-88-6-1

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