Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Nuggets (-3)
Trends Against The Spread
|10-7 (58%)||7-10 (41%)|
|4-4 (50%) at home||4-7 (36%) on the road|
|9-4 (64%) as underdog or pick||5-8 (38%) as favorite|
|3-3 (50%) as home underdog||2-5 (28%) as road favorite|
|Head To Head|
|1-1 (50%)||1-1 (50%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 70% of the time this season.
- The Nuggets have hit the over 47% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 6-2 against the over at home this season.
- Denver is 7-4 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder is 0-2 against the Nuggets so far this season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+3)
I’ll be honest: I’m not a big fan of a 3-point spread against a potential Western Conference juggernaut. While the Nuggets should be considered one of the favorites to come out of the West on top, they certainly haven’t been playing like it, and perhaps that’s why this spread is so close. Denver hasn’t done a great job at covering the spread all season, particularly on the road, and with OKC coming off a rough game on Monday, I think they are going to come out much more focused against the Nuggets.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (231.5)
In two meetings so far this season, the Thunder and the Nuggets have combined for 239 and 232. OKC has only increased their scoring potential since then, so I’m betting this one is an offensive showdown.
On the Season