Thunder Against the Spread | No Luka Means OKC is Favored with the Mavs in Town

Tip-Off: 6 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Total: 226

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Mavericks
All
23-16 (59%)14-23-3 (37%)
Location
13-8 (61%) at home6-12 (33%) on the road
Status
4-7 (36%) as favorite3-4-1 (42%) as underdog or pick
Location Status
4-4 (50%) as home favorite3-3 (50%) as road underdog
Head To Head
2-0 (0%)0-2 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 57% of the time this season.
  • The Mavericks have hit the over 57% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 13-7-1 against the over at home this season.
  • Dallas is 9-9 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
DAL112.5110.847.035.839.021.912.47.04.1W18-2
OKC116.4116.946.335.644.224.214.28.25.1W16-4

Series History

The Thunder is 1-1 against the Mavericks so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-3.5)

The Wizards were without Bradley Beal on Friday, and the Thunder absolutely dominated. Now, the Mavericks are without Luka Doncic. OKC has been very up and down lately, but playing in front of a home crowd should help maintain a consistent level of energy. The Thunder has a better backcourt by far considering the absence of Doncic, so OKC could win this one by a large margin, if everything goes as planned.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (226)

The two meetings so far this season between OKC and Dallas were both high-scoring affairs, totaling 238 and 235 points. Luka Doncic sitting out will definitely impact the way Dallas scores, but I think this game will go one of two ways: the Mavs figure out a way to score more effectively as a team —OR— the Thunder blows the Mavs out entirely. Either way, I see this one hitting the over on the point total.

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt19-1719-1717-19
Zack20-2025-1418-20-1
Craig17-1015-1212-14-1

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