Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Ball Arena (Denver, Colorado)
Spread: Nuggets (-5)
Trends Against The Spread
|30-16 (65%)||24-21-1 (53%)|
|15-8 (65%) on the road||15-9-1 (62%) at home|
|24-9 (72%) as underdog or pick||17-18-1 (48%) as favorite|
|15-5 (75%) as road underdog||13-9-1 (59%) as home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|1-2 (33%)||2-1 (66%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 55% of the time this season.
- The Nuggets have hit the over 47% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 11-12 against the over on the road this season.
- Denver is 10-15 against the over at home this season.
The Thunder is 0-3 against the Nuggets s season (0-1 at home, 0-2 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+5)
Denver and OKC have been killing it lately. The Nuggets are clearly the better team, but the Thunder keeps it close, regardless of who they’re playing. I can see this one coming down to some free throws at the end, so I’m taking OKC to cover, even if I’m not convinced they can pull off the win.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (239)
Neither OKC nor Denver has been particularly great at hitting the over on the point total this season, but this matchup has been a high-scoring one all season. I think tonight’s game will be no different, so I’m tentatively taking the over on the point total.
On the Season