Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-2)
Trends Against The Spread
|35-20 (63%)||27-29-1 (48%)|
|17-10 (63%) at home||10-16-1 (38%) on the road|
|8-8 (50%) as favorite||11-16-1 (40%) as underdog or pick|
|8-4 (66%) as home favorite||5-12-1 (29%)|
|Head To Head|
|1-1 (50%)||1-1 (50%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 57% of the time this season.
- The Pelicans have hit the over 56% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 17-9-1 against the over at home this season.
- New Orleans is 18-9 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder is 0-2 against the Pelicans so far this season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-2)
For the first few years of his career, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was not the most efficient scorer. He’s consistently been pretty good at scoring in and around the paint, but his three-point shooting has fluctuated quite a bit. Lately, however, Shai has been scoring at an incredibly efficient rate, all while not shooting much from beyond the perimeter. On Friday night against the Blazers, SGA managed 44 points on just 16 shots from the floor, primarily because of his ability to get deep into the paint, thus making his way to the free throw line. Because of the efficiency with which he has been playing, OKC has been scoring more as a whole, and everybody has benefited on the offensive side of the ball. I think that will play a big role in tonight’s matchup with the Pelicans, giving OKC the edge at home.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (236.5)
OKC has worked their way up to the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league. New Orleans isn’t too shabby, either, and the Pelicans have two guys that tend to do well against the Thunder in Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas. As a result, I think we see a lot of points in this one.
On the Season