Tip-Off: 9 PM CT
Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, California)
Spread: Warriors (-8)
Trends Against The Spread
|45-33-1 (57%)||36-42-1 (46%)|
|22-16-1 (57%) on the road||26-13-1 (66%) at home|
|31-19-1 (62%) as underdog or pick||26-28-1 (48%) as favorite|
|21-10-1 (67%) as road underdog||21-13-1 (61%) as home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|1-2 (33%)||2-1 (66%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 53% of the time this season.
- The Warriors have hit the over 55% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 17-22 against the over on the road this season.
- Golden State is 16-23-1 against the over at home this season.
The Thunder is 1-2 against the Warriors so far this season (1-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+8)
OKC’s odds of clinching the 10th seed for the play-in spot are still pretty good. Dallas continues to lose, and it’s a good thing, too, because OKC can’t seem to beat even the teams they should be beating. With that in mind, I’m hesitant to think the Thunder even has a chance tonight, but I think they’re due for a cover, if not an outright win. The game is really going to come down to OKC playing solid defense, which they haven’t done a lot of lately until the second half against the Suns on Sunday. If the Thunder can at least slow down the Warriors, I like their chances at covering the spread.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (242.5)
This is a ton of points, and both teams are extremely capable of popping off to make it happen. I do think this will be at least somewhat of a defensive battle, though, so I’m sticking with the under on the point total.
On the Season