The Thunder wrapped up a 3-game road trip with a 103-100 victory over the Knicks in New York City on Wednesday night, and now they return home to Oklahoma City for a 4-game homestand. Tonight they host the Golden State Warriors, who have struggled in the absence of the injured Steph Curry. Still, the Warriors have some young talent that cannot be overlooked. Just two nights ago, they defeated the Houston Rockets 115-113 in overtime.
OKC has had a tough time covering spreads, not just recently but all season long. However, the Thunder is 3-0 against the spread when playing the Warriors this season, as all three games have been dominant wins for OKC. I think tonight is going to be a similar situation, especially when you consider that the Thunder is the healthier team in a matchup for once. Golden State doesn’t have anyone who can slow down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and the Thunder has enough depth at every position to keep the Warriors uncomfortable.
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The Oklahoma City Thunder head out West for a brief 2-game road trip, beginning with a stop in San Francisco against the Golden State Warriors. OKC enters 2026 with a 3-game win streak and the best record in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Warriors have struggled to an 18-16 record, but they have won five of their last six games.
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I had Golden State covering the double-digit spread, but that was before Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler were ruled out alongside Draymond Green. This leaves the Warriors significantly hampered in what they can do on the offensive end, so barring an extremely poor performance by OKC, I see the Thunder covering easily.
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The Oklahoma City Thunder (20-1) finishes out a brief 2-game road trip in San Francisco on Tuesday night as they take on the Golden State Warriors (11-10). Both the Thunder and the Warriors are dealing with injuries to key players, but that’s nothing for the Thunder, as they have yet to play a game with the starting five from last season that led them to an NBA Finals Championship.
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OKC continues to deal with injuries to key players—Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso are all out tonight—but the Warriors are missing Stephen Curry, and Jimmy Butler is questionable to play. The Thunder seems to find a way to win regardless of who is healthy, usually on the back of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, but it’s not always easy. Even though the Warriors are without Curry, and especially if Butler can play, I think this will be a single-digit game when the final horn sounds.
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