Thunder Against the Spread | Expect OKC to Cover on the Road Yet Again

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, Minnesota)

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

Total: 228.5

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatTimberwolves
All
48-34-1 (58%)40-42-1 (48%)
Location
24-17-1 (57%) on the road19-22 (46%) at home
Status
32-20-1 (60%) as underdog or pick15-23 (39%) as favorite
Location Status
22-11-1 (65%) as road underdog8-17 (32%) as home favorite
Head To Head
2-2 (50%)2-2 (50%)
  • OKC has hit the over 53% of the time this season.
  • The Wolves have hit the over 46% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 19-23 against the over on the road this season.
  • Minnesota is 17-24 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC117.5116.446.535.643.624.413.08.24.2W35-5
MIN115.8115.849.036.541.926.215.38.05.4L16-4

Series History

The Thunder is 1-3 against the Timberwolves so far this season (0-2 at home, 1-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+5.5)

As poorly as OKC played at times to end the season, they kicked it into another gear on Wednesday against the Pelicans. Minnesota is favored for a reason…for several reasons, actually, but the Thunder is young and perhaps too naive to believe the fact that they really shouldn’t even be in this game, so I fully expect them to be able to keep this one close if not outright pull out a win.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)

Postseason is the time that teams trim their lineups and turn up their defense. Minnesota struggled to score triple digits against a less than stellar Los Angeles Laker defense a few days ago, and I think OKC will come in focused and ready to compete. Expect these teams to get close to going over the predicted point total, but I anticipate them falling just short, so I’m taking the under.

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt37-3631-42-140-32-1
Zack44-3950-3338-44-1
Craig33-2328-2830-24-2

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