MLB Best Bet For September 2, 2023 | Mariners vs. Mets

Our backs are against the wall after yesterday’s disastrous 0-3 performance on out picks for the Rays and Guardians. We’re sitting at 6-9 on the week now, and have two days left to try and get ahead. We can’t afford anymore setbacks but we’re pressing forward by breaking down tonight’s game between Seattle (76-58) and the New York Mets (62-73).

The Pitchers

Seattle’s Luis Castillo (11-7, 3.01 ERA) is a pitcher that comes up a lot in this feature for us. He’s sitting on a streak of four consecutive wins, and has allowed an average of 2.6 earned runs per game over his last five. He has 32 strikeouts over that same stretch.

New York’s David Peterson (3-7, 5.23 ERA) is coming off a strong outing against the Angels on August 27. In that game, he allowed just a single earned run, while striking out eight L.A. batters through seven innings of work. He hasn’t picked up a win since July 27, but he’s definitely been solid, allowing an average of just 1.6 earned runs per game over his last five.

The Lineups

Seattle’s offense is led by Cal Raleigh (25 home runs) Julio Rodriguez (.288 ERA and 87 RBI)P. The Mariners have scored 31 runs over the last five games. The Mariners have scored 17 runs over the last five games.

For the Mets it’s Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil who power the offense. Alonso has blasted 39 home runs, and plated 96 RBI, while McNeil is batting .265 on the season. The Mets have scored 15 runs over the last five games.

The Streaks

Seattle has lost two of its last three games while the Mets have won two in a row.

The Odds

Mariners -1.5

Mariners -140 on the moneyline

O/U 8

The Mets edged out Seattle on Friday night, and with the offensive struggles the Mariners have had over the last week I can definitely see New York keeping this within two runs, so I’ll take them at +1.5. I also like Seattle on the moneyline and we’ll keep with the under.

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