NCAA Football Best Bet For September 15, 2023 | Virginia vs. Maryland

Week 3 of the college football season got off to a dull start for us. We only hit one of our three picks with Navy and Memphis on Thursday night. The Midshipmen covered as (+13.5) underdogs and the game failed to hit the over (47). The only thing we ended up getting right was Memphis on the moneyline and that was our least advantageous pick. So, we’re heading into Friday night looking to get ahead before Saturday rolls around and Virginia (0-2) vs. Maryland (2-0) is where we’re starting.

The Odds

Terrapins -15.5

Terrapins -690

O/U 48

Why We’re Taking Virginia +15.5

I believe that Virginia is losing this game, and I believe they’re going to lose by multiple scores. It’s not a question of if they lose. It’s a question of how much they will lose by. Our formula has them losing by around 15 points, which is really close to the line here. The thing that I’m banking on is this being a final non-conference game, and Maryland having not really been tested yet. Virginia hasn’t been great to start the season, but they’ll be a better opponent to Maryland than Towson or Charlotte was.

Why We’re Taking Maryland On The Moneyline

The Terrapins are home favorites, so there’s a lot to love there. On top of that they’re heavy favorites. Dating back to last season, Maryland is 4-1 in its last five home games. Meanwhile, Virginia hasn’t won a road game since beating Georgia Tech on October 20th of last year.

Why We’re Taking The Over

Maryland’s offense is in high gear to start the season. The Terrapins have scored 38 points in each of the first two games of the season, and while that number may be a little lower facing an ACC opponent tonight, the Cavilers also seemed to find their offense in last weekend’s 36-35 loss to James Madison.

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