MLB Best Bet For September 17, 2023 | Giants vs. Rockies

Well, we’re just going to embrace the horror of our bad week. We went 0-3 on our picks for the Cubs/Diamondbacks game on Saturday. That puts us at 7-12 going into Sunday. With a new week starting tomorrow, our goal is to recoup as much of of losses as we can with San Francisco (75-74) at Colorado (56-92) today.

The Pitchers

The Giants have won just once in the last five games where Sean Manaea (5-6, 4.80 ERA) took the mound. That win came on August 31 when he threw 3.1 innings in San Diego against the Padres. Over his last five appearances Manaea is allowing an average of 1.8 earned runs per game.

Colorado’s Chris Flexen (1-7, 7.22 ERA) is coming off a 5.1 inning performance against the Cubs that ultimately ended in a 6-4 victory for the Rockies. That’s the first time he’s been involved in winning a game since August 14th. Over his last five outings he’s allowed an average of 3.2 earned runs per game.

The Lineups

The Giants are led from the plate by Wilmer Flores (22 HR), Thairo Estrada (.275 batting average), and J.D. Davis (68 RBI). San Francisco has scored 16 runs over the last five games.

Ryan McMahon, Elias Diaz, and Ezequiel Tovar lead the Rockies from the plate. McMahon has 23 home runs, while Diaz leads the team with a .270 batting average, and Tovar has knocked in 71 RBI. The Rockies have scored 30 runs over the last five games.

The Streaks

San Francisco has lost three games in a row, all to the Rockies. Going for a four-game sweep today, Colorado has a winning streak that extends through five games now.

The Odds

Giants -1.5

Giants -190 on the moneyline

O/U 12

Colorado has a hitting advantage here, and the Giants have a pitching advantage. This should be fun! I think this game remains tight, which is why I’m taking the Rockies at +1.5, and ultimately it’s hard to pick against the hot team when they’re playing at home. I’ll take the Rockies on the moneyline as well. There are a lot of points out there with the over/under. I typically lean towards the under and I’ll go that way again this afternoon.

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