Thunder Against the Spread | Can the Thunder Cover (and Win) at Home Against the Nuggets?

Tip-Off: 2:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)

Total: 230

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Nuggets
2-0 (100%)	All	1-1 (50%)
0-0 (0%) at home	Location	0-1 (0%) on the road
2-0 (100%) as underdog or pick	Status	1-1 (50%) as favorite
0-0 (0%) as home underdog	Location Status	0-1 (0%) as road favorite
0-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• OKC has hit the over 50% of the time this season.
• Denver has hit the over 0% of the time this season.
• The Thunder is 0-0 against the over at home this season.
• The Nuggets are 0-1 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
DEN	113.5	105.5	49.7	39.4	40.5	28.0	15.5	10.0	7.5	W2	2-0
OKC	116.0	104.5	50.3	49.2	45.0	26.0	17.0	7.0	7.0	W2	2-0

Series History

The Thunder went 1-3 (0-2 at home, 1-1 on the road) against the Nuggets last season.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+3.5)

Oklahoma City is 2-0 to start the season for the first time since 2016-17 when the Thunder won 4 straight to begin the season and 6 of their first 7. OKC has their hands full in hosting the reigning champion Denver Nuggets, but I’m okay with being a bit of a homer in this one and saying the fans show up for the home opener, and the Thunder show up for the fans by getting a win, thus covering the spread.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (230)

I’m guessing it won’t take long this season for the Thunder and the Nuggets to be looked at as two of the top offenses in the league. Meanwhile, both teams have played some pretty solid defense through their first two games. While I think this could be a high-scoring game, I don’t see it breaking the 230 point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	2-0	2-0	2-0
Zack	2-0	2-0	1-1
Craig	2-0	2-0	0-2