Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Given Slight Edge Hosting Warriors

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Total: 236.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Warriors
14-5-1 (73%)All8-12-1 (40%)
7-3 (70%) at homeLocation7-3 (70%) on the road
8-3 (72%) as favoriteStatus5-3-1 (62%) as underdog or pick
5-1 (83%) as home favoriteLocation Status5-2 (71%) as road underdog
3-0 (100%)Head To Head0-3 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 52% of the time this season.
  • Golden State has hit the over 52% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 5-4-1 against the over at home this season.
  • The Warriors are 5-5 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
GSW114.6114.045.136.646.727.715.27.03.5W14-6
OKC118.8111.348.839.641.225.413.28.36.1L17-3

Series History

The Thunder is 2-1 against the Warriors so far this season (0-1 at home, 2-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-3.5)

The Thunder had a pretty awful shooting night by their standards on Wednesday night in Houston against the Rockets, so expect them to get back on track tonight. The Warriors have had a rough go of things lately, and since losing in back-to-back games to OKC in San Francisco, Golden State has won 4 of 7, alternating wins and losses. That means they’re due for a loss after narrowly defeating the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday, and I think the home crowd makes all the difference tonight.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (236.5)

As much as the Warriors have struggled on defense, their offense is still a pretty good machine running off primarily Steph Curry. OKC has been one of the top defensive teams in the league while also carrying one of the best offenses. As good as the Thunder defense has been, I would not be surprised to see this one go well over the point total line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt12-813-6-16-14
Zack14-612-6-112-7
Craig11-58-7-14-12

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