Tip-Off: 8 PM CT
Location: Ball Arena (Denver, Colorado)
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
Total: 233
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Nuggets |
| 20-8-1 (71%) | All | 15-17-1 (46%) |
| 8-3-1 (72%) on the road | Location | 8-6-1 (57%) at home |
| 7-3-1 (70%) as underdog or pick | Status | 14-16-1 (46%) as favorite |
| 5-1-1 (83%) as road underdog | Location Status | 8-6-1 (57%) as home favorite |
| 1-1 (50%) | Head To Head | 1-1 (50%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 60% of the time this season.
- Denver has hit the over 40% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 6-6 against the over on the road this season.
- The Nuggets are 6-9 against the over at home this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 121.3 | 113.6 | 49.7 | 38.8 | 40.5 | 25.9 | 12.5 | 8.4 | 6.6 | W2 | 7-3 |
| DEN | 115.9 | 110.0 | 49.2 | 38.1 | 44.8 | 29.7 | 12.2 | 7.1 | 5.4 | W6 | 9-1 |
Series History
The Thunder is 1-1 against the Nuggets so far this season (0-1 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+3.5)
Winners of their last 6, the Nuggets are the hottest team in the NBA right now. Last night they beat the Memphis Grizzlies in Denver 142-105, and despite playing in the second game of a back-to-back tonight against the Thunder, Denver’s starters are fairly well-rested because of the beat down they gave Memphis. Still, OKC is playing about as well as anybody, and while I’m not convinced they can get a second win against the Nuggets in Denver, I do think they keep it to a one possession game.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (233)
The Thunder is coming off two really strong victories in which the offense was clicking, which includes guys not named Shai Gilgeous-Alexander—specifically Jalen Williams. Add to it that none of the primary scorers for the Nuggets hit 30 minutes last night, and I think we’ll see a decent amount of scoring tonight.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 15-14 | 16-12-1 | 8-21 |
| Zack | 21-8 | 17-11-1 | 15-14 |
| Craig | 18-6 | 13-10-1 | 8-16 |