Tip-Off: 6 PM CT
Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee, Wisconsin)
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
Total: 231
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Bucks |
| 40-28-1 (58%) | All | 30-39-1 (43%) |
| 18-15-1 (54%) on the road | Location | 16-18 (47%) at home |
| 10-5-1 (66%) as underdog or pick | Status | 25-31-1 (43%) as favorite |
| 7-3-1 (70%) as road underdog | Location Status | 14-17 (45%) as home favorite |
| 0-0 (0%) | Head To Head | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 55% of the time this season.
- Milwaukee has hit the over 49% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 19-14-1 against the over on the road this season.
- The Bucks are 20-14 against the over at home this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 120.7 | 112.9 | 50.0 | 39.2 | 41.8 | 26.9 | 12.5 | 8.4 | 6.7 | W4 | 8-2 |
| MIL | 120.6 | 117.2 | 49.1 | 37.9 | 43.8 | 26.5 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 5.0 | W1 | 6-4 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng is OUT (G League — on assignment).
- Adam Flagler is OUT (G League — two-way).
- Keyontae Johnson is OUT (G League — two-way).
- Olivier Sarr is QUESTIONABLE (G League — two-way).
Bucks
- Giannis Antetokounmpo is PROBABLE (left hamstring tendinopathy).
- Khris Middleton is PROBABLE (sprained left ankle).
Series History
The Thunder are 0-0 against the Milwaukee Bucks so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+2.5)
Milwaukee is given a slight edge here, likely because they are playing at home, but these two teams are probably pretty evenly matched. The Bucks aren’t 100% healthy—Giannis has missed time recently, and Middleton has recently returned from injury—but they’re still a problem. OKC is younger, healthier, and playing pretty solid basketball lately, so I think they can pull out a gutsy road win tonight.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229.5)
The Bucks have been known for their defensive capabilities for years now, but this season has been much more reliant on the offense to get things done. OKC has been in that similar boat lately, and even if they do lock in on defense, I think the Thunder will struggle to slow down Giannis. I’m expecting a reasonably high-scoring game, so I see this one hitting the over on the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 39-28 | 33-33-1 | 28-38 |
| Zack | 49-20 | 38-30-1 | 32-36 |
| Craig | 41-16 | 27-29-1 | 22-34 |