Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Double-Digit Favorite Over Hornets in Charlotte Despite Missing Key Defenders

Tip-Off: 5 PM CT

Location: Spectrum Center (Charlotte, North Carolina)

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Total: 219.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Hornets
19-11 (63%)	All	13-16-1 (44%)
10-6 (62%) on the road	Location	6-9-1 (40%) at home
18-11 (62%) as favorite	Status	13-12-1 (52%) as underdog or pick
9-6 (60%) as road favorite	Location Status	6-7-1 (46%) as home underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 13-17 (43%) against the over on the season.
• Charlotte is 12-18 (40%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 6-10 (30%) against the over on the road.
• The Hornets are 5-11 (31%) against the over at home.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	115.2	103.5	46.4	34.9	44.0	25.3	11.6	11.9	6.2	W9	9-1
CHA	106.5	113.0	42.9	34.8	45.5	23.7	16.0	7.9	4.9	L6	1-9

Injury Report

Thunder

• Branden Carlson (concussion protocol) is OUT.
• Alex Caruso (strained left hip) is OUT.
• Luguentz Dort (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
• Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Adam Flagler (G League —two-way) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (sprained left knee) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (left quad contusion) is OUT.

Hornets

• LaMelo Ball (left ankle and right wrist soreness) is OUT.
• Tre Mann (disc irritation) is OUT.
• Cody Martin (left knee soreness) is OUT.
• Brandon Miller (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• KJ Simpson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Nick Smith Jr. (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Grant Williams (right ACL tear) is OUT.
• Mark Williams (left thumb soreness) is AVAILABLE.

Series History

The Thunder went 0-2 against the Hornets last season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-11.5)

Despite missing Luguentz Dort and Cason Wallace to injury, the Thunder is a far better team than the Hornets. Charlotte may also be missing LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller, their top two scorers. Either way, OKC should be able to win this one handily.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (219.5)

Under normal circumstances, I would hammer the under on this point total. Charlotte is not a great scoring team, and the Thunder’s defense is overwhelming. However, with no Dort or Wallace, I think we may see this one just barely creep over the total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	19-9	16-11-1	13-15
Zack	24-6	21-9	17-13
Craig	23-6	21-5-2	16-13